524  
FXUS66 KSTO 272129  
AFDSTO  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
129 PM PST THU NOV 27 2025  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- DRY CONDITIONS AND PERIODS OF MORNING VALLEY AND ADJACENT  
FOOTHILLS FOG CONTINUE LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND  
 
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER FAVORED FOR  
THANKSGIVING DAY  
 
- DECREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION BUT PERIODICALLY BREEZY  
NORTH TO EAST WINDS EXPECTED LATE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
   
..TODAY - FRIDAY  
 
CURRENT GOES-WEST IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD STRATUS DECK ENVELOPING  
THE DELTA, VALLEY, AND ADJACENT LOWER FOOTHILLS THIS AFTERNOON.  
ANY LINGERING PATCHY FOG AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CONTINUE TO  
IMPROVE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY, WITH ADDITIONAL DENSE  
FOG DEVELOPMENT ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING.  
PROBABILITIES OF VISIBILITIES LESS THAN A HALF-MILE CURRENTLY SIT  
AROUND 50 TO 70 PERCENT THROUGHOUT THE DELTA, VALLEY, AND ADJACENT  
FOOTHILLS LOCATIONS. ASIDE FROM PERIODIC FOG DEVELOPMENT, COOL  
AND DRY WEATHER ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE  
WEEK AS WELL.  
   
..THIS WEEKEND - NEXT WEEK  
 
WHILE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED MOUNTAIN SHOWERS REMAINS  
POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, PREDOMINANTLY DRY WEATHER IS  
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. BREEZY  
NORTH TO EAST WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS WELL,  
ALTHOUGH STRONGEST WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE  
SIERRA AT THIS TIME. WITH A MORE PERSISTENT OFFSHORE WIND PATTERN  
SETTING UP LATE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK, FOG DEVELOPMENT IS  
EXPECTED TO BE LESSER RELATIVE TO THIS PAST WEEK. OTHERWISE,  
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES LOOK TO PERSIST. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE THEN  
INDICATES SOME POTENTIAL FOR A TROUGH RETROGRADING TOWARD THE WEST  
COAST AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. WHILE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS  
HIGH AT THIS TIME, POTENTIAL FOR BREEZIER NORTH TO EAST WINDS AND  
ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MOUNTAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
AREAS OF MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS LINGER ACROSS THE CENTRAL VALLEY  
UNTIL AROUND 23Z THURSDAY, THEN MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED  
UNTIL NEAR 06Z FRIDAY BEFORE IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE  
DELTA, SACRAMENTO VALLEY, AND NORTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEYS INTO  
18Z FRIDAY. MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS THEN UNTIL 23Z FRIDAY. LIGHT  
AND VARIABLE WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 12 KTS ACROSS INTERIOR  
NORCAL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  
 
 
   
STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PST FRIDAY  
FOR CARQUINEZ STRAIT AND DELTA-CENTRAL SACRAMENTO VALLEY-  
NORTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY-NORTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-SOUTHERN  
SACRAMENTO VALLEY.  
 
 
 
 
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