607
FNUS76 KSTO 300055
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR LILY LAKE BE02, BE03...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
455 PM PST SAT NOV 29 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR THE BURN
LOCATION. LIGHTER, TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS ARE FORECAST ON SUNDAY, AND THEN
EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS WILL THEN DECREASE
AND BECOME MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN LATER ON MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE A STRONGER
ROUND OF EAST WINDS DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE OVERNIGHT THROUGH EARLY MORNING TIMEFRAME.
THERE IS A 35% PROBABILITY OF SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 10 MPH WITH THE
INITIAL ROUND SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY, AND A 65% CHANCE WITH THE SECOND ROUND IN
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A FEW LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS WELL, BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR A LIGHT DUSTING OF SNOW.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY WITH AREAS OF FROST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP...........WEST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6
TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 9
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 42 45 44 40
RH..............48 48 52 57 69
SL/VL WIND......W 3 W 3 W 3 N 2 NE 2
SL/VL WIND GUST.12 10 12 12 12
RIDGETOP WIND...W 12 W 10 NW 6 NW 6 E 9
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2300 2700 2700 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 13 NW 6 NW 6 E 9
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-26.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING EAST
5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 22 MPH AFTER 2000.
RIDGETOP...........EAST 9 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 32 30 30 28 27
RH..............73 73 73 69 65 62
SL/VL WIND......NE 2 E 6 E 9 E 9 E 8 E 7
SL/VL WIND GUST.12 17 22 22 21 16
RIDGETOP WIND...E 9 E 10 E 12 E 12 E 13 E 13
MIX HGT (FT)....500 200 200 200 200 200
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 E 10 E 12 E 12 E 13 E 13
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-44.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 12 TO 16 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AFTER 1200.
RIDGETOP...........EAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............26 32 40 39
RH..............60 46 39 47
SL/VL WIND......E 7G16 E 5G14 E 3G10 E 2G8
RIDGETOP WIND...E 13 E 10 E 9 E 6
MIX HGT (FT)....200 200 400 1400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 10 E 9 E 6
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.
OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY DECEMBER 07 THROUGH SATURDAY DECEMBER 13
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER'S 8-14 DAY PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK FAVORS
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR THIS
TIMEFRAME.
FORECASTER...KH
REQUESTED BY...DAVID DELEON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526614.0/STO
.DELDT 11/30/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CASEY.HOFFMAN@USDA.GOV,DAVID.DELEON@USDA.GOV
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