741
FNUS76 KSTO 190920
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR GIBSONVILLE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
120 AM PST FRI DEC 19 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON DECEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ACTIVE WEATHER RESUMES TODAY AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER THE
WEEKEND AND AT LEAST THROUGH THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY PERIOD. WIDESPREAD
RAIN SHOWERS LOOK TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING, WITH POTENTIAL
FOR A BRIEF LULL OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE THE
NEXT WAVE OF PRECIPITATION ARRIVES LATER SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 2-3 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST IN THE BURN AREA THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BREEZY TO
GUSTY ACROSS THE FORECAST PERIOD. FORECAST GUSTS LOOK TO SIT AT OR
ABOVE 20 MPH GENERALLY THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH STRONGEST GUSTS IN THE
SHORT TERM EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING.
THERE IS HIGHER FORECAST UNCERTAINTY ON EXACT DETAILS INTO NEXT
WEEK, BUT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY ALONGSIDE
ADDITIONAL POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS. CURRENT PROBABILITIES FOR
RAINFALL GREATER THAN 6 INCHES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY SIT
AROUND 50-80%, WITH 60-90% PROBABILITIES OF WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN
40 MPH SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. ADDITIONALLY, SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED
TO FALL TO AROUND 5500-6000 FEET BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IN THE BURN VICINITY POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS
TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 18 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 37
MPH IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 14 TO 17 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 21 TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO NEAR 1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 28 MPH.
CWR.................74 PERCENT INCREASING TO 98 PERCENT IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
CWR.............70 70 70 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
TEMP............40 40 41 41 41 41 40 42 40 39 39
RH..............87 88 83 88 96 98 97 95 97 98 100
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW
SL/VL WIND SPD..20 21 21 18 18 17 15 14 14 14 14
SL/VL WIND GUST.37 37 37 35 35 32 29 28 28 29 29
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..28 28 28 26 26 26 23 23 23 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 28 26 26 26 23 23 23 21 21
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO AROUND 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH.
CWR.................95 PERCENT DECREASING TO 48 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC
CWR.............100 100 100 100 90 90 90 90 90 90 50 50
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
TEMP............39 40 41 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 41 41
RH..............100 100 95 93 92 91 91 91 90 89 88 87
SL/VL WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
SL/VL WIND SPD..14 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 14 14
SL/VL WIND GUST.29 33 33 33 35 35 35 32 32 32 28 28
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..21 18 18 18 21 21 21 21 21 21 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 18 18 18 21 21 21 21 21 21 23 23
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO
30 MPH.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO NEAR 1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH.
CWR.................48 PERCENT INCREASING TO 96 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
CWR.............50 50 50 50 80 80 80 80 80 80 100 100
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
TEMP............41 41 42 43 44 44 44 44 43 42 42 41
RH..............87 87 86 86 87 90 93 96 98 100 100 98
SL/VL WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
SL/VL WIND SPD..14 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 10 10
SL/VL WIND GUST.28 24 24 24 23 23 23 21 21 21 20 20
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S SW SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..23 16 16 16 18 18 18 21 21 21 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 16 16 16 18 18 18 21 21 21 17 17
FORECASTER...NR
REQUESTED BY...JASON MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527622.3/STO
.DELDT 12/19/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MARK.CRESALIA@USDA.GOV,JASON.T.MILLER@USDA.GOV,JARED.HAWE@USDA.GOV
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