418
FNUS76 KSTO 091500
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH MEDUSA...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
700 AM PST MON FEB 9 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON FEBRUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ACTIVE WEATHER IS IN THE FORECAST BEGINNING LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. A SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW TO THE BURN
SITE, ALONG PERIODS OF BREEZY TO GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES. TODAY, EAST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH AT THE
SURFACE, WHILE A LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA. BEST CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN LATE TONIGHT/EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. INITIAL
SNOW LEVELS AROUND 7000 FEET TODAY AND TOMORROW, THEN FALLING TO AROUND
5500 FEET WEDNESDAY. HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, ALONG
WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT AROUND 15-20%. A BRIEF BREAK IN
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THURSDAY, BEFORE A COLDER AND WETTER SYSTEM IS FORECAST
TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. HEAVIER RAIN/SNOW TOTALS, ALONG WITH STRONGER WINDS
BEGIN FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON EXACT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND TIMING FOR THIS SYSTEM
AT THIS TIME.
PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING:
RAIN: 1-2 INCHES
SNOW: 8 TO 14 INCHES; HIGHEST TOTALS ABOVE 6000 FEET
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
RIDGETOP...........EAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................7 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
CWR.............0 0 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............37 41 48 49 48 44
RH..............64 51 44 43 53 66
SL/VL WIND......E 6 NE 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 NE 7
SL/VL WIND GUST.10 13 14 13 14 15
RIDGETOP WIND...E 13 E 13 E 12 E 6 E 6 E 8
MIX HGT (FT)....600 600 1900 2100 2100 500
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 13 E 12 E 6 E 6 E 8
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
RIDGETOP...........EAST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 9 TO
16 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 9 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................7 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 41 40 40 39 40
RH..............68 67 71 68 74 73
SL/VL WIND......E 7 E 7 E 7 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6
SL/VL WIND GUST.15 15 14 13 12 12
RIDGETOP WIND...E 8 E 9 SE 9 SE 9 S 16 S 20
MIX HGT (FT)....500 400 400 400 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 9 SE 9 SE 9 S 16 S 20
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS, SNOW SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 37 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 96 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............20 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10
TEMP............38 41 42
RH..............78 69 71
SL/VL WIND......SE 6G12 S 10G25 S 14G30
RIDGETOP WIND...S 20 S 30 S 37
MIX HGT (FT)....600 4100 4400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 30 S 37
FORECASTER...JW
REQUESTED BY...SYLVESTER RUIZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602150.0/STO
.DELDT 02/09/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SYLVESTER.RUIZ@USDA.GOV
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