330  
FNUS76 KSTO 091642  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MT. HOUGH DISTRICT PILES- FWFRSC UNIT H-2...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
842 AM PST MON FEB 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PST ON FEBRUARY 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH CLOUDS WITH SOME SUNSHINE TODAY, WITH PERIODS OF BREEZY EASTERLY  
SURFACE WINDS. A SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION LATER TONIGHT  
INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND BRING MOSTLY RAIN TO THE BURN SITE. HEAVIEST  
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  
SNOW LEVELS LOOK TO HOLD AROUND 5200 FEET, BUT A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY  
MORNING AS COOLER AIR ARRIVES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. TRANSPORT WINDS FROM  
THE EAST TODAY AND TONIGHT, THEN 10-15 MPH TUESDAY FROM THE SOUTH. A  
SMALL BREAK IN WIDESPREAD RAIN EXPECTED BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THEN A  
COLDER AND WETTER SYSTEM IS IN THE FORECAST TO ARRIVE BY SATURDAY. RIGHT  
NOW, TOO EARLY TO GET EXACT PRECIPITATION TOTALS BUT FORECAST TRENDS HAVE  
INCREASED SNOW TOTALS FOR THE BURN SITE. WET WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO  
CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WELL.  
 
FORECAST PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR BURN SITE-  
TONIGHT - THURSDAY AM:  
RAIN: 1.25 TO 1.75 INCHES  
SNOW: DUSTING, IF ANY  
 
FRIDAY NIGHT - MONDAY  
RAIN: 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES**  
SNOW: 8-12 INCHES**  
 
**THIS FORECAST WILL LIKELY CHANGE PENDING ON TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE  
SYSTEM.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST 14 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 15 MPH.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY  
CWR.............0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0  
TEMP............41 45  
RH..............59 44  
SL/VL WIND......E 6G16 E 8G18  
RIDGETOP WIND...E 14 E 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2800  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 14 E 15  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW  
OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT,  
THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83-87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT INCREASING TO 27 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CWR.............0 0 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 38 38 36  
RH..............49 52 60 70  
SL/VL WIND......E 7G17 E 6G16 E 5G14 E 3G12  
RIDGETOP WIND...E 15 E 14 E 15 E 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 500 400 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 15 E 14 E 15 E 12  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN ALL DAY; HEAVIEST  
RAIN EXPECTED LATER TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 10%  
CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-43.  
MIN HUMIDITY........81-85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST  
UP TO 5 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO  
13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO  
13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................27 PERCENT INCREASING TO 88 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CWR.............30 30 50 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10  
TEMP............35 34 38 39  
RH..............80 84 85 87  
SL/VL WIND......E 3G12 E 3G12 E 5G12 SE 5G12  
RIDGETOP WIND...E 10 E 10 S 13 S 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 600 1400 900  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10 E 10 S 13 S 13  
 
 
FORECASTER...JW  
REQUESTED BY...EDWARD BADALAMENTI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602162.0/STO  
.DELDT 02/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SAMUEL.COLLINSON@USDA.GOV,EDWARD.BADALAMENTI@USDA.GOV,LUCAS.PASCUCCI@USDA.GOV  
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