249
FNUS76 KSTO 092001
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTTIAGO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1201 PM PST MON FEB 9 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON FEBRUARY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A WEATHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY MORNING, WITH RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS, GUSTY WINDS
BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS AT THE BURN SITE. ARRIVAL TIME OF
RAIN/PRECIPITATION ACTIVITY LOOKS TO BE AROUND 8-10 AM TUESDAY
MORNING, CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF AROUND 1.00 TO 1.25 INCHES ARE IN THE FORECAST
AT THE BURN SITE, THROUGH WEDNESDAY, HIGHER TOTALS IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP OVER THE AREA. HEAVIEST RAIN AND BEST CHANCES FOR T-STORMS
WILL BE TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A BRIEF BREAK
IN ACTIVITY FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, THEN A COLDER SYSTEM ARRIVES
THIS WEEKEND AND CONTINUES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. POTENTIAL FOR
MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AT THE BURN SITE EARLY NEXT WEEK, ALONG
WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST AROUND 21 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 33
TO 41 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 26 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 33 TO 41 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
DECREASING TO AROUND 26 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................7 PERCENT INCREASING TO 92 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
CWR.............10 30 30 30 90
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 20
TEMP............48 53 54 53 50
RH..............61 56 56 61 70
SL/VL WIND......SE 3 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 6
SL/VL WIND GUST.8 14 14 17 15
RIDGETOP WIND...SE 21 S 33 S 33 S 41 S 26
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 4500 4500 5200 3300
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 21 S 33 S 33 S 41 S 26
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 25 TO 32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 32 MPH.
CWR.................92 PERCENT DECREASING TO 81 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 80
CHC OF THDR (%).20 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............47 45 45 45 45 44
RH..............80 83 79 77 77 78
SL/VL WIND......S 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 5 SE 6
SL/VL WIND GUST.15 13 13 13 13 13
RIDGETOP WIND...S 26 S 25 S 28 S 28 S 32 S 32
MIX HGT (FT)....3300 2800 2800 2800 2800 2300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 26 S 25 S 28 S 28 S 32 S 32
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-48.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 24 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 21 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 28 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
DECREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................81 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............80 80 70 70
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10
TEMP............43 44 45 45
RH..............77 76 78 79
SL/VL WIND......SE 6G13 S 6G14 S 6G16 S 6G15
RIDGETOP WIND...S 32 S 24 S 28 S 21
MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2500 3100
TRANSPORT WIND..S 32 S 24 S 28 S 21
FORECASTER...JW
REQUESTED BY...RONNIE MARTINEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602156.0/STO
.DELDT 02/09/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RONALD.MARTINEZ@USDA.GOV
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