494
FNUS76 KSTO 100158
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR D54 PILE BURN BEAR...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
558 PM PST MON FEB 9 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING PRECIPITATION, BREEZY SOUTH WINDS,
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.
FORECAST RAIN AMOUNTS ARE AROUND 1.25" WITH A 20-35% CHANCE OF
SEEING 1.50" OR MORE OF RAIN. A LIGHT DUSTING OF SNOW IS
POSSIBLE ABOVE 5000 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ADDITIONALLY THERE IS A 10-20% CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH ON TUESDAY WITH GUSTS 25
TO 35 MPH BEFORE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TO GUSTS UP TO 15-25 MPH
TUESDAY NIGHT - WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK IN
PRECIPITATION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY BEFORE A WETTER, COLDER
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MONDAY PM-WEDNESDAY: CHANCE FOR RAIN 1" OR MORE: 60-70%
MONDAY PM-WEDNESDAY: CHANCE FOR SNOW 0.10" OR MORE: 20-35%
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE
MORNING, THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 30
MPH.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO
15 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO
15 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................6 PERCENT INCREASING TO 95 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
CWR.............10 20 20 20 100
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 10
TEMP............45 51 52 51 47
RH..............60 52 52 57 76
SL/VL WIND......S 12 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 13
SL/VL WIND GUST.21 26 26 26 24
RIDGETOP WIND...SE 16 S 24 S 28 S 28 S 17
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 4800 4700 4700 3500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 S 24 S 28 S 28 S 17
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO AROUND
21 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................97 PERCENT DECREASING TO 74 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 70
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............43 41 40 39 38 37
RH..............86 94 96 96 95 94
SL/VL WIND......S 13 S 9 S 9 S 9 SE 10 SE 10
SL/VL WIND GUST.24 17 17 17 20 21
RIDGETOP WIND...S 17 S 16 S 10 S 10 S 21 S 21
MIX HGT (FT)....3500 2400 1700 1700 2300 2000
TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 16 S 10 S 10 S 21 S 21
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN RAIN LIKELY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH IN
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH.
CWR.................74 PERCENT DECREASING TO 18 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............70 70 70 70
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10
TEMP............37 39 42 42
RH..............96 83 77 78
SL/VL WIND......SE 10G21 SE 10G21 S 12G23 S 10G21
RIDGETOP WIND...S 21 S 15 S 22 S 21
MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1800 3700 3400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 S 15 S 22 S 21
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...DA
REQUESTED BY...BRADLEY WALKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602141.0/STO
.DELDT 02/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID.REYNOLDS@USDA.GOV,BRADLEY.WALKER@USDA.GOV
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