206  
FNUS76 KSTO 100218  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RAIN TREE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
618 PM PST MON FEB 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON FEBRUARY 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW, GUSTY WINDS  
AT TIMES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE (LESS THEN 15%) OF THUNDERSTORMS STARTING  
TODAY (TUESDAY). THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF  
WEDNESDAY.  
 
PRECIPITATION SHOULD START AS RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON THEN SWITCH  
OVER TO ALL SNOW BY EARLY EVENING. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF  
5 TO 10 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER WEATHER  
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EXPECTED SNOWFALL.  
 
ANOTHER (STRONGER) WEATHER SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE  
IN THE WEEKEND BRINGING MORE ACCUMLATING SNOW.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. A FEW SHOWERS  
POSSIBLE AROUND NOON, THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 17 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 33 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 33 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT INCREASING TO 97 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC PC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 60 60 60 60 60 60 100 100  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............38 37 38 42 47 49 48 47 49 46 45 42  
RH..............64 66 64 58 49 48 51 54 55 54 58 73  
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
SL/VL WIND SPD..7 7 8 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 10 10  
SL/VL WIND GUST.13 14 17 20 22 24 24 25 24 24 23 23  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..35 35 40 40 45 45 50 50 45 45 40 40  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 1.6 1.6 1.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 2.3 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 21 21 21 33 33 33 29 29 29 22 22  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. SNOW THROUGH  
THE NIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83-87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 20 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH.  
CWR.................97 PERCENT DECREASING TO 72 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 70 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0  
TEMP............37 37 35 35 35 35 34 34 34 33 33 33  
RH..............81 84 86 85 83 83 84 85 86 87 88 88  
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
SL/VL WIND SPD..10 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8  
SL/VL WIND GUST.23 16 16 16 15 15 15 18 18 18 20 20  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..35 30 30 30 35 40 45 45 50 55 55 55  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 20 20 20 21 21 21 18 18 18 26 26  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW IN THE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN SNOW LIKELY LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58-62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH IN  
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 21 TO 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 30 MPH.  
CWR.................72 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC  
CWR.............70 70 70 70 60 60 60 60 60 60 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............33 34 35 37 39 40 41 41 42 42 41 39  
RH..............87 84 79 72 67 65 65 65 61 58 57 62  
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
SL/VL WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 8  
SL/VL WIND GUST.20 21 21 21 24 24 24 23 23 23 18 18  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..50 45 45 50 50 45 45 40 40 40 35 35  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.1 2.1 2.1 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.6 2.5 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 21 21 21 29 29 29 30 30 30 23 23  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID  
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
 
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.    
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY  
 
SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
 
 
FORECASTER...WR  
REQUESTED BY...MARC ELLSWORTH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601991.1/STO  
.DELDT 02/10/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MARC.ELLSWORTH@USDA.GOV  
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