733  
FNUS76 KSTO 101418  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 21X...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
618 AM PST TUE FEB 10 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0705 PST ON FEBRUARY 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
CLOUDY START TO TUESDAY MORNING, EVENTUALLY GIVING WAY TO WIDESPREAD  
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  
CURRENT HI-RESOLUTION MODEL DATA SUGGESTS START TIME OF PRECIPITATION  
AROUND 1-3 PM TODAY, CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL  
BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST THIS MORNING, SLIGHTLY INCREASE IN SPEED AS  
THE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH, TO AROUND 4 TO 8 MPH SUSTAINED, GUSTS UP  
TO 10-15 MPH. THE BREAK IN ACTIVITY BEGINS THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH  
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING, THEN A COLDER AND WETTER SYSTEM IS FORECAST  
TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. PRIMARY THREATS FROM THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT  
WEEK SYSTEM WILL INCLUDE HEAVY RAIN, GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS, AND  
POTENTIAL LOW ELEVATION SNOW (2500-3500 FEET) ACCUMULATIONS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
MORNING, THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.  
CWR.................11 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86-90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH.  
CWR.................93 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71-75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.  
CWR.................92 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
THURSDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN EARLY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...JW  
REQUESTED BY...JASON MILLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601828.3/STO  
.DELDT 02/10/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MARK.CRESALIA@USDA.GOV,JESSE.STEVENS@USDA.GOV,ROBERT.HONROTH@USDA.GOV,AURORA.SALDIVAR@USDA.GOV,JAMES.LICO@USDA.GOV  
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