940  
FNUS76 KSTO 110140  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 19 ROAD HAND PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
540 PM PST TUE FEB 10 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON FEBRUARY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH  
HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING  
HOURS, ALBEIT LIGHTER THAN TUESDAY-EARLY WEDNESDAY PERIOD OF  
STORMS. AS SNOW LEVELS DROP WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, LIGHT  
SNOW MAY DEVELOP WITH ANY LINGERING SHOWERS BUT SHOULD ONLY BE A  
DUSTING IF ANYTHING. THERE WILL ALSO BE A 15-25% CHANCE OF  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH BEST  
CHANCES FROM NOON TO 9 PM. INCREASING WINDS FROM THE SOUTH  
EXPECTED WITH GUSTS 15 TO 25 MPH IN AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
BRIEF DRYING TREND EXPECTED IN BETWEEN SYSTEM WITH MIN RH VALUES  
IN THE 40S TO 50S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.  
 
CHANCE FOR 0.50" INCH OF RAIN (WEDNESDAY AM - THURSDAY AM):70-80%  
CHANCE FOR 1 INCH OF RAIN (WEDNESDAY AM - THURSDAY AM): 30-40%  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS, SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-44.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71-75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 TO 25  
MPH IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH.  
CWR.................69 PERCENT DECREASING TO 52 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CWR.............70 70 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 20 20  
TEMP............38 39 40  
RH..............80 75 71  
SL/VL WIND......SE 6G18 S 10G21 S 7G20  
RIDGETOP WIND...S 15 S 20 S 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....800 3000 2300  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 20 S 17  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN  
AND SNOW EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF  
SNOW IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75-79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO  
10 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO  
10 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................52 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CWR.............50 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0  
TEMP............38 37 36  
RH..............82 78 76  
SL/VL WIND......S 3G6 SE 5G9 E 4G8  
RIDGETOP WIND...S 8 SE 9 E 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 900 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 SE 10 E 10  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CWR.............10 10 10  
TEMP............33 44 48  
RH..............74 56 52  
SL/VL WIND......NE 2G5 NE 2G7 N 3G9  
RIDGETOP WIND...E 7 NE 7 NE 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1300 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 NE 7 NE 6  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...DA  
REQUESTED BY...TAHOE/AMERIAN RIVER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601915.2/STO  
.DELDT 02/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ERIC.HUSMANN@USDA.GOV,MIKE.DUROCHER@USDA.GOV,JEREMY.HIERONIMUS@USDA.GOV,GLEN.HAYDON@USDA.GOV,JAMES.BOLLINGER@USDA.GOV  
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