574
FNUS76 KSTO 110151
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR RAIN TREE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
551 PM PST TUE FEB 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL KEEP AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
OVER THE REGION THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF
GUSTY WINDS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION NEAR THE BURN SITE
AT TIMES, WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR DRIER WEATHER CURRENTLY
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. OTHERWISE, FORECAST SNOW LEVELS
LOOK TO REMAIN AROUND 6000 FEET OR LOWER THIS WEEK AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. CURRENT PROBABILITIES FOR ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL GREATER
THAN 3" FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY EVENING SIT AROUND 30-50%.
SNOW SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, BUT DRIER
WEATHER IS THEN ANTICIPATED LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A
STRONGER AND COLDER STORM IS ON TRACK TO BRING ADDITIONAL GUSTY
WINDS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW FROM LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. CURRENT PROBABILITIES OF SNOWFALL GREATER THAN 48" FROM
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY SIT AROUND 40-70%.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE DAY. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH
THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 7 TO 10
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 20 TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 28 MPH.
CWR.................65 PERCENT DECREASING TO 32 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY MC MC MC MC
CWR.............60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 30 30
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10
TEMP............33 34 34 36 39 41 41 41 41 43 41 38
RH..............84 85 82 75 66 65 62 63 61 57 57 70
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
SL/VL WIND SPD..12 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 8 8
SL/VL WIND GUST.31 31 31 32 32 32 31 30 29 28 21 21
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
RIDGE WIND SPD..22 20 20 20 28 28 28 25 25 25 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.2 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 20 20 20 28 28 28 25 25 25 20 20
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SNOW
LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN
BECOMING EAST UP TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 16 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 9
TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO AROUND 0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................32 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC
CWR.............30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............36 33 32 31 31 31 30 30 29 28 28 26
RH..............77 81 81 81 80 79 78 77 78 79 79 79
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE E E E E E
SL/VL WIND SPD..8 6 6 6 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
SL/VL WIND GUST.21 12 12 12 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE E
RIDGE WIND SPD..20 16 16 16 17 17 17 10 10 10 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 16 16 16 17 17 17 10 10 10 9 9
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................7 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR MCR MC MC MC MC MC MC MCR MCR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............26 27 31 37 42 45 48 49 49 49 47 43
RH..............77 74 67 58 51 47 45 44 44 45 49 56
SL/VL WIND DIR..E E E E NE NE NE NW NW NW NW NW
SL/VL WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
SL/VL WIND GUST.8 9 9 9 12 12 12 13 13 13 14 14
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE
RIDGE WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 8 8 8 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.8 1.8 1.8 4.4 4.4 4.4 2.1 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E E E E E E NE NE NE N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 8 8 8 6 6 6 6 6
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING LIGHT BY THE AFTERNOON.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE DAY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW. HEAVY SNOW AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW. HEAVY SNOW AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 11 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW. HEAVY SNOW AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 14 MPH.
FORECASTER...NR
REQUESTED BY...MARC ELLSWORTH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601991.2/STO
.DELDT 02/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MARC.ELLSWORTH@USDA.GOV
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