744
FNUS76 KSTO 110227
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR D54 PILE BURN 1S19M...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
627 PM PST TUE FEB 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL KEEP AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
OVER THE REGION THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF
GUSTY WINDS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION NEAR THE BURN SITE
AT TIMES, WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR DRIER WEATHER CURRENTLY
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. OTHERWISE, FORECAST SNOW LEVELS
LOOK TO REMAIN AROUND 5500-6000 FEET THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH
LITTLE TO NO SNOWFALL EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE WITH THIS SYSTEM.
CURRENT PROBABILITIES FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL GREATER THAN 0.5"
FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY EVENING SIT AROUND 30-50%. SNOW
SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, BUT DRIER WEATHER
IS THEN ANTICIPATED LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A STRONGER AND
COLDER STORM IS ON TRACK TO BRING ADDITIONAL GUSTY WINDS AND
PERIODS OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND WITH SNOW LEVELS
EXPECTED TO FALL TO 5000 FEET OR LESS NEAR THE BURN SITE LATE IN
THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH.
CWR.................81 PERCENT DECREASING TO 36 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...UP TO 16 PERCENT LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TIME (PST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CWR.............80 80 80 80 40
CHC OF THDR (%).10 20 20 20 10
TEMP............37 42 42 44 41
RH..............92 78 73 70 81
SL/VL WIND......S 18 S 16 S 14 S 13 S 10
SL/VL WIND GUST.32 31 29 26 20
RIDGETOP WIND...S 18 S 23 S 21 S 21 S 15
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 3300 3200 3200 2100
TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 23 S 21 S 21 S 15
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN
LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 8 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO AROUND 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
8 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................36 PERCENT DECREASING TO 6 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (PST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
CWR.............40 40 10 10 10 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 36 36 35 33 31
RH..............87 94 90 87 83 79
SL/VL WIND......S 10 SE 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 NE 8
SL/VL WIND GUST.20 10 7 7 8 10
RIDGETOP WIND...S 15 SE 12 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 E 8
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1000 600 600 600 500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 SE 12 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 E 8
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5
TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............28 39 49 49
RH..............77 59 49 59
SL/VL WIND......NE 8G10 NE 7G10 W 2G6 W 6G12
RIDGETOP WIND...E 8 NE 9 NE 5 NW 6
MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 2300 3900
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 NE 9 NE 5 NW 6
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND
7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
FORECASTER...NR
REQUESTED BY...BRADLEY WALKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602301.0/STO
.DELDT 02/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID.REYNOLDS@USDA.GOV,BRADLEY.WALKER@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page