656
FNUS76 KSTO 110308
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH MEDUSA...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
708 PM PST TUE FEB 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0644 PST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL KEEP AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
OVER THE REGION THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF
GUSTY WINDS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION NEAR THE BURN SITE
AT TIMES, WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR DRIER WEATHER CURRENTLY
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. OTHERWISE, FORECAST SNOW LEVELS
LOOK TO REMAIN AROUND 6000 FEET OR LOWER THIS WEEK AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. CURRENT PROBABILITIES FOR ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL GREATER
THAN 4" FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY EVENING SIT AROUND 40-60%.
SNOW SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, BUT DRIER
WEATHER IS THEN ANTICIPATED LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A
STRONGER AND COLDER STORM IS ON TRACK TO BRING ADDITIONAL GUSTY
WINDS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW FROM LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
MIN HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
DECREASING 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 24 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 26 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................79 PERCENT DECREASING TO 45 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...UP TO 16 PERCENT LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
CWR.............80 80 80 80 80 50
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 20 20 20 10
TEMP............34 34 35 35 35 34
RH..............92 92 86 85 84 85
SL/VL WIND......S 15 S 15 S 16 S 15 S 14 S 10
SL/VL WIND GUST.37 40 39 37 35 24
RIDGETOP WIND...S 21 S 18 S 26 S 26 S 24 S 15
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 2300 3100 3100 3000 2200
TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 S 18 S 26 S 26 S 24 S 15
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SNOW
LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO 9 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
12 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO AROUND 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
12 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................45 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (PST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
CWR.............50 50 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............33 32 31 30 28 28
RH..............94 89 89 88 85 81
SL/VL WIND......S 10 S 6 SE 5 SE 5 E 6 NE 6
SL/VL WIND GUST.24 13 8 8 8 10
RIDGETOP WIND...S 15 S 14 SE 12 SE 12 S 9 E 12
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 1400 400 400 300 300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 14 SE 12 SE 12 S 9 E 12
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................7 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CWR.............10 10 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0
TEMP............26 39 43
RH..............80 61 61
SL/VL WIND......NE 6G10 NE 6G12 NW 6G14
RIDGETOP WIND...E 10 E 10 NE 5
MIX HGT (FT)....300 2200 4500
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 E 10 NE 6
FORECASTER...NR
REQUESTED BY...SYLVESTER RUIZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602150.2/STO
.DELDT 02/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SYLVESTER.RUIZ@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page