841
FNUS76 KSTO 110406
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR MT. HOUGH DISTRICT PILES- FWFRSC UNIT H-2...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
806 PM PST TUE FEB 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL KEEP AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
OVER THE REGION THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF
BREEZY WINDS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION NEAR THE BURN
SITE AT TIMES, WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR DRIER WEATHER CURRENTLY
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. OTHERWISE, FORECAST SNOW LEVELS
LOOK TO REMAIN ABOVE 5000 FEET THROUGH WEDNESDAY, FALLING TO
AROUND 4500 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE REBOUNDING DURING THE
DAY. CURRENT PROBABILITIES FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL GREATER THAN
0.5" FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY EVENING SIT AROUND 15-30%. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, BUT
DRIER WEATHER IS THEN ANTICIPATED LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A
STRONGER AND COLDER STORM IS ON TRACK TO BRING ADDITIONAL BREEZY
WINDS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION FROM LATE SATURDAY INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................54 PERCENT DECREASING TO 33 PERCENT IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...UP TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TIME (PST) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
CWR.............50 30 30 30
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 10
TEMP............34 34 39 39
RH..............92 97 94 83
SL/VL WIND......SE 3G10 S 3G13 S 3G13 S 2G9
RIDGETOP WIND...S 8 S 10 S 9 S 6
MIX HGT (FT)....700 1800 1900 900
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 10 S 9 S 6
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY EARLY IN THE
EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3
TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO AROUND 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT DECREASING TO 9 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (PST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CWR.............30 30 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0
TEMP............38 36 35 33
RH..............89 90 89 90
SL/VL WIND......S 2G9 SE 2G6 W 1G5 W 1G3
RIDGETOP WIND...S 6 W 5 SW 6 SW 6
MIX HGT (FT)....900 200 300 300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 W 5 SW 6 SW 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................3 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............30 32 39 44
RH..............88 91 80 65
SL/VL WIND......N 1G3 NE 1G5 NE 2G7 NE 2G9
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 3 E 5 NE 5 NE 6
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1500 3600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 E 5 NE 5 NE 6
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...NR
REQUESTED BY...EDWARD BADALAMENTI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602162.2/STO
.DELDT 02/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SAMUEL.COLLINSON@USDA.GOV,EDWARD.BADALAMENTI@USDA.GOV,LUCAS.PASCUCCI@USDA.GOV
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