739
FNUS76 KSTO 110521
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR 21X...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
921 PM PST TUE FEB 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL KEEP AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
OVER THE REGION THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF
GUSTY WINDS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION NEAR THE BURN SITE
AT TIMES, WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR DRIER WEATHER CURRENTLY
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. CURRENT PROBABILITIES FOR
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL GREATER THAN 1" FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY
EVENING SIT AROUND 40-50%. ADDITIONALLY, A 10-20% CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECASTED FOR WEDNESDAY WHICH MAY PROVIDE
LOCALLY ELEVATED RAIN AMOUNTS IF OCCURRING NEAR THE BURN SITE.
RAIN SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, BUT DRIER
WEATHER IS THEN ANTICIPATED LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
A STRONGER AND COLDER STORM IS ON TRACK TO BRING ADDITIONAL GUSTY
WINDS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION FROM LATE SATURDAY INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. FORECAST SNOW LEVELS AT THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ABOVE 3000 FEET NEAR THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. RAIN LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS 20-25 MPH
IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................86 PERCENT DECREASING TO 61 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
CWR.............80 80 90 90 90 60
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 20 20 20 10
TEMP............45 44 46 47 49 47
RH..............85 87 80 82 77 81
SL/VL WIND......SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 S 8 SE 6 SE 5
SL/VL WIND GUST.21 22 21 21 20 13
RIDGETOP WIND...S 35 S 45 S 40 S 30 S 25 S 20
MIX HGT (FT)....800 800 2100 1600 1600 900
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 SE 16 SE 18 S 17 S 17 SE 12
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
BY THE EARLY MORNING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH TO EAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO EAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................61 PERCENT DECREASING TO 4 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
CWR.............60 60 20 20 20 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 45 45 44 44 43
RH..............85 87 85 85 84 82
SL/VL WIND......SE 5 SE 3 E 2 E 2 E 2 NE 3
SL/VL WIND GUST.13 8 7 7 7 7
RIDGETOP WIND...SE 12 SE 12 SE 13 SE 13 SE 10 E 9
MIX HGT (FT)....900 800 700 700 200 BLW100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 SE 12 SE 13 SE 13 SE 10 E 9
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
TEMP............41 45 53 56
RH..............81 71 56 53
SL/VL WIND......NE 3G7 NE 3G8 N 2G7 NW 3G10
RIDGETOP WIND...E 9 NE 8 N 6 NW 6
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 1300 3200
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 NE 8 N 6 NW 6
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...DA
REQUESTED BY...JASON MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602261.1/STO
.DELDT 02/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES.LICO@USDA.GOV,AURORA.SALDIVAR@USDA.GOV,JASON.T.MILLER@USDA.GOV,ROBERT.HONROTH@USDA.GOV,JESSE.STEVENS@USDA.GOV,MARK.CRESALIA@USDA.GOV
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