232  
FNUS76 KSTO 240312  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BERRY BRUSH PILE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
712 PM PST MON FEB 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON FEBRUARY 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WARM WEATHER SYSTEM BRINGS RAIN AND BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO THE AREA.  
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. CURRENT  
FORECAST SHOW THE HEAVIEST RAIN FROM 4 AM - 4 PM TUESDAY WITH 3-4 INCHES  
FORECASTED, UP TO 4.5 INCHES IF SLIGHT CHANCE OF CONVECTION (5-10%) PROVIDES  
HEAVIER RAIN BANDS, THEN LINGERING SHOWERS INTO WEDNESDAY EARLY AM. SNOW  
LEVELS WILL BE 6000FT, INCREASING TO 10KFT AND ABOVE BY TUESDAY MORNING.  
STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING, WITH PERIODIC GUSTS UP TO  
35 MPH. WINDS BEGIN TO DECREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON, BUT REMAIN SOMEWHAT  
BREEZY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.  
STRONGER WINDS EXPECTED IN TYPICAL DOWN-CANYON WIND AREAS SUCH AS JARBO GAP.  
DRIER WEATHER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, WITH A NEW CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS  
LATE ON FRIDAY AND OVER THE WEEKEND.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........82-86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH  
DECREASING TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 7 AM 11 AM 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY  
CWR.............100 100 100  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10  
TEMP............48 47 50  
RH..............89 88 88  
SL/VL WIND......SE 16G35 SE 15G32 SE 13G28  
RIDGETOP WIND...SE 16 S 15 S 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 900 800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 S 15 S 13  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN  
CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86-90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN  
THE EVENING DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.  
CWR.................94 PERCENT DECREASING TO 28 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY  
CWR.............90 70 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0  
TEMP............50 51 51  
RH..............88 90 90  
SL/VL WIND......SE 12G25 S 9G20 S 8G18  
RIDGETOP WIND...S 12 S 9 S 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 300 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 9 S 9  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65-69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................28 PERCENT DECREASING TO 4 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CWR.............30 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0  
TEMP............51 53 56  
RH..............89 83 72  
SL/VL WIND......S 7G17 S 7G16 SW 6G13  
RIDGETOP WIND...S 7 S 7 S 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 900 1600  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 7 S 6  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
THURSDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SP  
REQUESTED BY...JASON MILLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603627.1/STO  
.DELDT 02/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES.LICO@USDA.GOV,MARK.CRESALIA@USDA.GOV,JESSE.STEVENS@USDA.GOV,JASON.T.MILLER@USDA.GOV  
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