018  
FNUS76 KSTO 022332  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR M5 HTA...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
332 PM PST MON MAR 2 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON MARCH 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MOSTLY DRY AND BREEZY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF  
THE WEEK, WITH A QUICK MOVING SYSTEM BRING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN  
ON WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY PERIODS OF GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND  
CONTINUED DRY WEATHER LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. WHILE LIGHT RAIN  
IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY, CHANCES FOR GREATER THAN 0.10" OF RAIN  
AT THE BURN SITE ONLY SIT AROUND 15-20% AT THIS TIME. OTHERWISE,  
BREEZY WINDS TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN  
BELOW 15 MPH, WITH SUSTAINED WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS TRENDING ABOVE  
15 MPH BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. AS THE MIDWEEK SYSTEM GRADUALLY EXITS,  
A WARM, DRY, AND WINDY PATTERN THEN LOOKS TO FOLLOW THE REMAINDER  
OF THE WEEK INTO THE EARLY WEEKEND. CHANCES FOR SUSTAINED NORTH  
WINDS GREATER THAN 20 MPH CURRENTLY SIT AROUND 60-90% THURSDAY-  
SATURDAY.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST  
7 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6  
TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 10  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6  
TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 10  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 44 49 52 55 56 56 56 57 55 54  
RH..............57 60 56 56 58 56 58 59 59 66 69  
SL/VL WIND DIR..NW W SW S S SW SW SW SW W W  
SL/VL WIND SPD..6 5 3 2 5 6 7 8 9 10 10  
SL/VL WIND GUST.12 10 8 8 10 14 16 17 18 20 20  
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N N S S S SW SW SW W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 9 9 9 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N S S S SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 9 9 9 10 10  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
AT TIMES.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 47 46 45 45 45 44 44 44 44 43 43  
RH..............70 68 66 65 64 63 63 63 62 62 63 67  
SL/VL WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
SL/VL WIND SPD..10 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10  
SL/VL WIND GUST.20 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 20 20  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 12 12  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY LATE IN THE  
DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 37 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 29  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 29 MPH.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MCR MCR  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0  
TEMP............42 42 43 45 46 47 48 48 47 47 46 44  
RH..............71 73 70 66 62 61 61 61 60 60 59 59  
SL/VL WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..10 13 13 13 16 16 16 18 18 18 21 21  
SL/VL WIND GUST.20 23 23 23 30 30 30 33 33 33 37 37  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW W W NW NW NW NW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..40 40 40 40 40 40 40 35 35 30 30 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.0 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 17 17 17 26 26 26 29 29 29 24 24  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
THURSDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH-NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO 40 MPH AT TIMES. DAYTIME  
MINIMUM HUMIDITY IN THE LOWER 30S.    
FRIDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS TO 44 MPH AT TIMES. DAYTIME  
MINIMUM HUMIDITY IN THE UPPER 20S.    
SATURDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 14 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS TO 38 MPH IN THE MORNING. DAYTIME  
MINIMUM HUMIDITY IN THE LOWER 30S.  
 

 
FORECASTER...NR  
REQUESTED BY...JACOB KURKO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604500.0/STO  
.DELDT 03/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JACOB.KURKO@USDA.GOV,DAVID.NADEAU@USDA.GOV,BRADFORD.TOVAR@USDA.GOV,KYLE.WAUGH@USDA.GOV  
 
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