524
FNUS76 KSTO 031836
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH RIM PILE BURN...CHICO FD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1036 AM PST TUE MAR 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CURRENT HIRES MODELS SHOW ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS AND A 15-20% CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE BETWEEN 6 AND
11 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE
SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING, BEFORE SHIFTING OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY
THE AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERIODICALLY GUST 15 TO 20
MPH, ESPECIALLY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONAL WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
DRY WEATHER RESUMES ON THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY STRONGER NORTH TO
EAST WINDS DEVELOPING THURSDAY-SATURDAY.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................12 PERCENT DECREASING TO 2 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15-20 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10
TEMP............55 57 59 61 60 61 61 58
RH..............91 82 75 66 60 55 49 52
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S NW NW NW NW NW NW
SL/VL WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9
SL/VL WIND GUST.9 10 10 12 13 15 15 15
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW NW NW
RIDGE WIND SPD..9 9 9 16 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 2.7 4.1 4.1 4.1 3.0 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 16 16 16 16 16
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
RIDGETOP...........NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5-10 PERCENT, DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER 7PM.
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 53 51 49 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 42
RH..............56 58 62 66 68 69 69 69 70 71 71 72
SL/VL WIND DIR..NW N N N N N N N N N N N
SL/VL WIND SPD..9 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 7
SL/VL WIND GUST.15 16 16 16 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13
RIDGE WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N N
RIDGE WIND SPD..16 15 15 15 12 12 12 9 9 9 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 15 15 12 12 12 9 9 9 8 8
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 11 TO 17 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............42 44 47 50 54 57 59 61 62 63 62 61
RH..............71 70 67 63 58 54 50 47 44 42 41 43
SL/VL WIND DIR..N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
SL/VL WIND SPD..7 12 12 12 15 15 15 17 17 17 16 16
SL/VL WIND GUST.13 21 21 21 26 26 26 28 28 28 26 26
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
RIDGE WIND SPD..8 12 12 12 15 15 15 18 18 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 2.4 2.4 2.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 12 12 12 15 15 15 18 18 18 18 18
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WATNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604637.0/STO
.DELDT 03/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MIKE.WATNER@CHICOCA.GOV
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