694  
FNUS76 KSTO 180232  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SLY PARK VMP...CAL FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
732 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
PATTERN CHANGE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK AHEAD WITH COOLER  
TEMPERATURES AND UNSETTLED WEATHER. MONDAY WILL FEATURE MOSTLY  
DRY AND SUNNY CONDITIONS WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY  
SOUTHWEST WINDS. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL ENTER THE FORECAST  
TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS, AND THEN BETTER  
CHANCES ARE FAVORED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION  
LATE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY IS CURRENTLY FORECAST BETWEEN 0.10"-0.20".  
THERE IS AN 80% CHANCE OF AT LEAST A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN FROM  
TUESDAY PM-THURSDAY. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ON THE OVERALL PATTERN CHANGE,  
MEDIUM ON PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND TIMING. RH RECOVERIES WILL SIGNIFICANTLY  
IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34-40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING WITH GUSTS 14 TO 17 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 58 62 64 65 65 65 64 61  
RH..............46 43 40 38 38 38 40 43 47  
SL/VL WIND DIR..SE SE SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 6 7 7 8 8 7 3  
SL/VL WIND GUST.7 7 16 16 16 17 17 17 10  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE SE SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..9 9 15 16 17 18 18 18 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 4.2 4.2 4.2 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 20 20 20 20 20 20 13  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65-69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST TO EAST 5 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5  
TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 54 51 50 49 49 49 49 49 49 48 48  
RH..............53 59 64 67 67 67 66 64 62 60 59 58  
SL/VL WIND DIR..SW SW SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E N  
SL/VL WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0  
SL/VL WIND GUST.10 10 6 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S E E E N  
RIDGE WIND SPD..13 13 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41-45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST TO SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
7 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 47 48 51 56 60 62 63 63 63 63 59  
RH..............58 59 58 54 50 46 44 43 44 45 47 53  
SL/VL WIND DIR..N N E E E SW SW SW SW SW SW W  
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 1  
SL/VL WIND GUST.3 3 6 6 6 8 8 8 10 10 10 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E E SW SW SW SW SW SW W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..8 8 10 10 12 16 16 16 12 12 12 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.4 4.4 4.4 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE E E E S S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 16 16 16 12 12 12 7  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY, SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.    
FRIDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS  
AROUND 60. LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...KH  
REQUESTED BY...JOSH VICKERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623776.0/STO  
.DELDT 10/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSH.VICKERS@FIRE.CA.GOV  
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