244  
FGUS51 KTAR 080110  
RVFBUF  
RIVER FORECAST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA  
0909 PM EDT WED MAY 07 2025  
:  
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.  
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - ATTICA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.2 FT AT MAY-07 0801 PM  
.ER ATTN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 4.1  
.E2 :0508: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 3.9  
.E3 :0509: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.8  
.E4 :0510: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - BATAVIA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.5 FT AT MAY-07 0800 PM  
.ER BTVN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 4.9  
.E2 :0508: / 4.3 / 3.9 / 3.6 / 3.4  
.E3 :0509: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.1 / 3.1  
.E4 :0510: / 3.0 / 3.0 / 2.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - RAPIDS, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 7.0 FT AT MAY-07 0800 PM  
.ER RAPN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 7.4  
.E2 :0508: / 7.7 / 7.7 / 7.2 / 6.5  
.E3 :0509: / 5.7 / 4.9 / 4.4 / 4.0  
.E4 :0510: / 3.8 / 3.6 / 3.5  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CATTARAUGUS CREEK - GOWANDA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.3 FT AT MAY-07 0815 PM  
.ER GOWN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 3.2  
.E2 :0508: / 3.2 / 3.1 / 3.0 / 2.9  
.E3 :0509: / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.6  
.E4 :0510: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.5  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BUFFALO CREEK - GARDENVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.7 FT AT MAY-07 0815 PM  
.ER GDVN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 1.6  
.E2 :0508: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.4 / 1.4  
.E3 :0509: / 1.4 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3  
.E4 :0510: / 1.3 / 1.2 / 1.2  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CAYUGA CREEK - LANCASTER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.5 FT AT MAY-07 0830 PM  
.ER LCSN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 4.4  
.E2 :0508: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2  
.E3 :0509: / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1  
.E4 :0510: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CAZENOVIA CREEK - EBENEZER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.5 FT AT MAY-07 0900 PM  
.ER EBZN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 3.4  
.E2 :0508: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.1 / 3.1  
.E3 :0509: / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.9  
.E4 :0510: / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:ELLICOTT CREEK - WILLIAMSVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.6 FT AT MAY-07 0815 PM  
.ER WILN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 3.4  
.E2 :0508: / 3.2 / 3.1 / 2.9 / 2.8  
.E3 :0509: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.5  
.E4 :0510: / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.4  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - WELLSVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 6.6 FT AT MAY-07 0845 PM  
.ER WLLN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 6.5  
.E2 :0508: / 6.4 / 6.3 / 6.2 / 6.2  
.E3 :0509: / 6.1 / 6.0 / 6.0 / 5.9  
.E4 :0510: / 5.9 / 5.9 / 5.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - PORTAGEVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 12.6 FT AT MAY-07 0800 PM  
.ER PRTN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 12.2  
.E2 :0508: / 11.9 / 11.7 / 11.6 / 11.4  
.E3 :0509: / 11.3 / 11.2 / 11.1 / 11.0  
.E4 :0510: / 11.0 / 10.9 / 10.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - MOUNT MORRIS DAM, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 760.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 662.5 FT AT MAY-07 0800 PM  
.ER MMDN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6  
:POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 663.9  
.E2 :0508: / 664.9 / 665.6 / 666.2 / 666.6  
.E3 :0509: / 667.0 / 667.3 / 667.5 / 667.6  
.E4 :0510: / 667.7 / 667.8 / 667.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - AVON, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 28.5 FT AT MAY-07 0815 PM  
.ER AVON6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 29.1  
.E2 :0508: / 29.2 / 28.8 / 28.4 / 27.9  
.E3 :0509: / 27.6 / 27.2 / 26.9 / 26.7  
.E4 :0510: / 26.5 / 26.3 / 26.1  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION  
:************************************************************  
:OATKA CREEK - GARBUTT, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.6 FT AT MAY-07 0800 PM  
.ER GRBN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 5.4  
.E2 :0508: / 5.0 / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.6  
.E3 :0509: / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.1  
.E4 :0510: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 3.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BLACK CREEK - CHURCHVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.9 FT AT MAY-07 0800 PM  
.ER CHRN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 4.1  
.E2 :0508: / 4.2 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2  
.E3 :0509: / 4.0 / 3.8 / 3.6 / 3.5  
.E4 :0510: / 3.3 / 3.1 / 3.0  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - ROCHESTER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 11.7 FT AT MAY-07 0800 AM  
.ER RHRN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 12.1  
.E2 :0508: / 12.2 / 12.0 / 11.7 / 11.2  
.E3 :0509: / 10.7 / 10.3 / 10.0 / 9.8  
.E4 :0510: / 9.7 / 9.6 / 9.5  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION  
:************************************************************  
:HONEOYE CREEK - HONEOYE FALLS, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.5 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.8 FT AT MAY-07 0830 PM  
.ER HNYN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 4.8  
.E2 :0508: / 4.6 / 4.4 / 4.2 / 4.1  
.E3 :0509: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.9  
.E4 :0510: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION  
:************************************************************  
:CANANDAIGUA LAKE - CANANDAIGUA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 690.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 688.9 FT AT MAY-07 0815 PM  
.ER CNDN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6  
:POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 688.9  
.E2 :0508: / 688.9 / 688.9 / 688.9 / 688.9  
.E3 :0509: / 688.9 / 688.9 / 688.9 / 688.9  
.E4 :0510: / 688.9 / 688.9 / 688.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CANANDAIGUA OUTLET - CHAPIN, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.6 FT AT MAY-07 0901 PM  
.ER CPNN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 5.6  
.E2 :0508: / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.3 / 5.2  
.E3 :0509: / 5.1 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 4.9  
.E4 :0510: / 4.8 / 4.6 / 4.6  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
:  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BLACK RIVER - BOONVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 7.8 FT AT MAY-07 0800 PM  
.ER BOON6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 7.7  
.E2 :0508: / 7.4 / 7.2 / 7.0 / 6.7  
.E3 :0509: / 6.5 / 6.4 / 6.2 / 6.4  
.E4 :0510: / 6.6 / 6.7 / 6.6  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.12/ 0.20/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:MOOSE RIVER - MCKEEVER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.9 FT AT MAY-07 0830 PM  
.ER MCKN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 5.9  
.E2 :0508: / 5.8 / 5.7 / 5.5 / 5.3  
.E3 :0509: / 5.1 / 4.9 / 4.7 / 4.7  
.E4 :0510: / 4.8 / 4.9 / 4.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.12/ 0.21/ 0.12/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BLACK RIVER - WATERTOWN, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 6.3 FT AT MAY-07 0830 PM  
.ER ARTN6 20250508 E DC202505072109/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0507: / 6.4  
.E2 :0508: / 6.4 / 6.4 / 6.6 / 6.7  
.E3 :0509: / 6.8 / 6.8 / 6.8 / 6.7  
.E4 :0510: / 6.6 / 6.5 / 6.4  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.12/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  

 
:NERFC  
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