798  
FGUS51 KTAR 061531  
RVFBUF  
RIVER FORECAST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA  
1131 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2025  
:  
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.  
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - ATTICA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.3 FT AT SEP-06 1100 AM  
.ER ATTN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3  
.E2 :0907: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3  
.E3 :0908: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3  
.E4 :0909: / 3.3  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - BATAVIA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.5 FT AT SEP-06 1100 AM  
.ER BTVN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4  
.E2 :0907: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5  
.E3 :0908: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5  
.E4 :0909: / 1.4  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - RAPIDS, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.1 FT AT SEP-06 1100 AM  
.ER RAPN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1  
.E2 :0907: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1  
.E3 :0908: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1  
.E4 :0909: / 1.1  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CATTARAUGUS CREEK - GOWANDA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.1 FT AT SEP-06 1115 AM  
.ER GOWN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2  
.E2 :0907: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2  
.E3 :0908: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1  
.E4 :0909: / 1.1  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BUFFALO CREEK - GARDENVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 0.5 FT AT SEP-06 1115 AM  
.ER GDVN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5  
.E2 :0907: / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5  
.E3 :0908: / 0.4 / 0.4 / 0.4 / 0.4  
.E4 :0909: / 0.4  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CAYUGA CREEK - LANCASTER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.7 FT AT SEP-06 1030 AM  
.ER LCSN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7  
.E2 :0907: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.8 / 2.8  
.E3 :0908: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7  
.E4 :0909: / 2.6  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CAZENOVIA CREEK - EBENEZER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.3 FT AT SEP-06 1100 AM  
.ER EBZN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.4  
.E2 :0907: / 2.3 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4  
.E3 :0908: / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3  
.E4 :0909: / 2.3  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:ELLICOTT CREEK - WILLIAMSVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.8 FT AT SEP-06 1115 AM  
.ER WILN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8  
.E2 :0907: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.7  
.E3 :0908: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7  
.E4 :0909: / 1.7  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - WELLSVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.3 FT AT SEP-06 1045 AM  
.ER WLLN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 4.3 / 4.4 / 4.4  
.E2 :0907: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.3  
.E3 :0908: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3  
.E4 :0909: / 4.3  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.19/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - PORTAGEVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 8.4 FT AT SEP-06 1100 AM  
.ER PRTN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 8.4 / 8.5 / 8.5  
.E2 :0907: / 8.5 / 8.5 / 8.5 / 8.5  
.E3 :0908: / 8.5 / 8.4 / 8.4 / 8.4  
.E4 :0909: / 8.4  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - MOUNT MORRIS DAM, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 760.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 582.8 FT AT SEP-06 1100 AM  
.ER MMDN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6  
:POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 585.0 / 585.0 / 585.0  
.E2 :0907: / 585.0 / 585.0 / 585.0 / 585.0  
.E3 :0908: / 585.0 / 585.0 / 585.0 / 585.0  
.E4 :0909: / 585.0  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - AVON, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 13.7 FT AT SEP-06 1115 AM  
.ER AVON6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 13.8 / 13.8 / 13.7  
.E2 :0907: / 13.7 / 13.7 / 13.7 / 13.7  
.E3 :0908: / 13.7 / 13.7 / 13.7 / 13.7  
.E4 :0909: / 13.7  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION  
:************************************************************  
:OATKA CREEK - GARBUTT, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.3 FT AT SEP-06 1100 AM  
.ER GRBN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3  
.E2 :0907: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3  
.E3 :0908: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3  
.E4 :0909: / 2.3  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BLACK CREEK - CHURCHVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.2 FT AT SEP-06 1100 AM  
.ER CHRN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2  
.E2 :0907: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2  
.E3 :0908: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2  
.E4 :0909: / 1.2  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - ROCHESTER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.6 FT AT SEP-06 0800 AM  
.ER RHRN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 3.6 / 3.7 / 3.7  
.E2 :0907: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7  
.E3 :0908: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7  
.E4 :0909: / 3.6  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION  
:************************************************************  
:HONEOYE CREEK - HONEOYE FALLS, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.5 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.8 FT AT SEP-06 1030 AM  
.ER HNYN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 1.9 / 2.0 / 2.0  
.E2 :0907: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0  
.E3 :0908: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 1.9  
.E4 :0909: / 1.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION  
:************************************************************  
:CANANDAIGUA LAKE - CANANDAIGUA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 690.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 687.4 FT AT SEP-06 1015 AM  
.ER CNDN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6  
:POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 687.4 / 687.4 / 687.4  
.E2 :0907: / 687.4 / 687.4 / 687.4 / 687.4  
.E3 :0908: / 687.4 / 687.4 / 687.4 / 687.3  
.E4 :0909: / 687.3  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.16/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CANANDAIGUA OUTLET - CHAPIN, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.2 FT AT SEP-06 1030 AM  
.ER CPNN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2  
.E2 :0907: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2  
.E3 :0908: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2  
.E4 :0909: / 3.2  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
:  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BLACK RIVER - BOONVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.1 FT AT SEP-06 1100 AM  
.ER BOON6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 4.1 / 4.0 / 4.0  
.E2 :0907: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9  
.E3 :0908: / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8  
.E4 :0909: / 3.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.25/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:MOOSE RIVER - MCKEEVER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.7 FT AT SEP-06 1030 AM  
.ER MCKN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 1.7 / 1.8 / 1.8  
.E2 :0907: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.7  
.E3 :0908: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.6  
.E4 :0909: / 1.6  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.24/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BLACK RIVER - WATERTOWN, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.5 FT AT SEP-06 1030 AM  
.ER ARTN6 20250906 E DC202509061131/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0906: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.7  
.E2 :0907: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7  
.E3 :0908: / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6  
.E4 :0909: / 2.6  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.24/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  

 
:NERFC  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
 
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