864  
FGUS51 KTAR 031624  
RVFBUF  
RIVER FORECAST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA  
1124 AM EST TUE FEB 03 2026  
:  
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.  
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - ATTICA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.8 FT AT FEB-03 1100 AM  
.ER ATTN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5  
.E2 :0204: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5  
.E3 :0205: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5  
.E4 :0206: / 3.5  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - BATAVIA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.0 FT AT FEB-03 1100 AM  
.ER BTVN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0  
.E2 :0204: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0  
.E3 :0205: / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9  
.E4 :0206: / 1.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - RAPIDS, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.2 FT AT FEB-03 1100 AM  
.ER RAPN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8  
.E2 :0204: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7  
.E3 :0205: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7  
.E4 :0206: / 1.7  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:CATTARAUGUS CREEK - GOWANDA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.3 FT AT FEB-03 1015 AM  
.ER GOWN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9  
.E2 :0204: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9  
.E3 :0205: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9  
.E4 :0206: / 1.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:BUFFALO CREEK - GARDENVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.3 FT AT FEB-03 1015 AM  
.ER GDVN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9  
.E2 :0204: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9  
.E3 :0205: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9  
.E4 :0206: / 0.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:CAYUGA CREEK - LANCASTER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.7 FT AT FEB-03 1030 AM  
.ER LCSN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4  
.E2 :0204: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4  
.E3 :0205: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4  
.E4 :0206: / 3.4  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:CAZENOVIA CREEK - EBENEZER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.5 FT AT FEB-03 1100 AM  
.ER EBZN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7  
.E2 :0204: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7  
.E3 :0205: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7  
.E4 :0206: / 2.7  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:ELLICOTT CREEK - WILLIAMSVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.3 FT AT FEB-03 1115 AM  
.ER WILN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0  
.E2 :0204: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0  
.E3 :0205: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0  
.E4 :0206: / 2.0  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - WELLSVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.8 FT AT FEB-03 1045 AM  
.ER WLLN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4  
.E2 :0204: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4  
.E3 :0205: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4  
.E4 :0206: / 4.4  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - PORTAGEVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 10.4 FT AT FEB-03 1100 AM  
.ER PRTN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 9.1 / 9.1 / 9.1  
.E2 :0204: / 9.0 / 9.0 / 9.0 / 9.0  
.E3 :0205: / 9.0 / 9.0 / 9.0 / 9.0  
.E4 :0206: / 9.0  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - MOUNT MORRIS DAM, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 760.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 588.0 FT AT FEB-03 1100 AM  
.ER MMDN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6  
:POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 588.1 / 588.2 / 588.1  
.E2 :0204: / 588.1 / 588.1 / 588.2 / 588.3  
.E3 :0205: / 588.3 / 588.2 / 588.1 / 588.0  
.E4 :0206: / 587.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - AVON, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 17.4 FT AT FEB-03 1015 AM  
.ER AVON6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 16.0 / 15.9 / 15.9  
.E2 :0204: / 15.9 / 15.9 / 15.9 / 15.8  
.E3 :0205: / 15.8 / 15.8 / 15.8 / 15.8  
.E4 :0206: / 15.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION  
:************************************************************  
:OATKA CREEK - GARBUTT, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.6 FT AT FEB-03 1100 AM  
.ER GRBN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5  
.E2 :0204: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5  
.E3 :0205: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5  
.E4 :0206: / 2.5  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:BLACK CREEK - CHURCHVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.7 FT AT FEB-03 1100 AM  
.ER CHRN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6  
.E2 :0204: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6  
.E3 :0205: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6  
.E4 :0206: / 1.6  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - ROCHESTER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 9.3 FT AT FEB-02 0700 AM  
.ER RHRN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 9.3 / 9.2 / 9.2  
.E2 :0204: / 9.2 / 9.1 / 9.1 / 9.1  
.E3 :0205: / 9.1 / 9.0 / 9.0 / 9.0  
.E4 :0206: / 8.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION  
:************************************************************  
:HONEOYE CREEK - HONEOYE FALLS, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.5 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.8 FT AT FEB-03 1030 AM  
.ER HNYN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8  
.E2 :0204: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8  
.E3 :0205: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8  
.E4 :0206: / 2.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION  
:************************************************************  
:CANANDAIGUA LAKE - CANANDAIGUA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 690.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 687.0 FT AT FEB-03 1115 AM  
.ER CNDN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6  
:POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 687.0 / 687.0 / 687.0  
.E2 :0204: / 687.0 / 687.0 / 687.0 / 687.0  
.E3 :0205: / 687.0 / 687.0 / 687.0 / 687.0  
.E4 :0206: / 687.0  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:CANANDAIGUA OUTLET - CHAPIN, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.4 FT AT FEB-03 1030 AM  
.ER CPNN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3  
.E2 :0204: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3  
.E3 :0205: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3  
.E4 :0206: / 3.3  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
:  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BLACK RIVER - BOONVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 6.2 FT AT FEB-03 1100 AM  
.ER BOON6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3  
.E2 :0204: / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2  
.E3 :0205: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2  
.E4 :0206: / 4.2  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:MOOSE RIVER - MCKEEVER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.0 FT AT FEB-03 1030 AM  
.ER MCKN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.4  
.E2 :0204: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4  
.E3 :0205: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4  
.E4 :0206: / 2.4  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:************************************************************  
:BLACK RIVER - WATERTOWN, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.8 FT AT FEB-03 1030 AM  
.ER ARTN6 20260203 E DC202602031124/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 :0203: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4  
.E2 :0204: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3  
.E3 :0205: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3  
.E4 :0206: / 3.3  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS  
:NATURAL FLOW.  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
 
:NERFC  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
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