528
FXUS62 KTBW 170813
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
313 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2024
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 305 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2024
ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY WITH A COOL DRY START TO THE MORNING. OVERALL,
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE KEEPING THE AREA IN THIS PLEASANT
PATTERN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
EACH DAY, BUT HUMIDITY SHOULD REMAIN LOWER. BY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY, THE PATTERN GETS SHAKEN UP BY THE REMNANT MOISTURE AND
ENERGY OF TROPICAL STORM SARA BEING PUSHED OUT AHEAD A AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS WILL INCREASE RAIN CHANCES FOR
THE AREA, MAINLY WEDNESDAY. FOLLOWING THE REMNANTS OF SARA, A
STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BRINGING A BLAST OF MUCH
COOLER AIR TO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE 40S
AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S. THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES COULD STICK AROUND FOR A FEW DAYS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 305 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2024
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL MOSTLY REMAIN
BELOW 10 KTS SHIFTING BETWEEN SE TO NE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 305 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2024
QUIET MARINE CONDITIONS INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AS A HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE AREA. TUESDAY EVENING
INTO WEDNESDAY THE REMNANT OF TS SARA MOVE OVER OUR WATERS WHICH
COULD CAUSE HIGHER SEAS AND STRONGER WINDS. A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO
BEING MOVING THROUGH THE WATERS FOLLOWING THE SARA REMNANTS. BY
THE END OF THE WEEK, THE NORTH TO NW WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND
WILL MOST LIKELY REACH SCEC OR ADVISORY LEVELS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 305 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2024
THOUGH DRIER AIR HAS MOVED OVER THE AREA, THE CRITICAL RH VALUES
REMAIN ABOVE CRITERIA.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 82 63 83 67 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 83 63 84 65 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 82 61 84 63 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 83 63 84 66 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 82 55 83 59 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 81 68 82 70 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...PEARCE
DECISION SUPPORT...FLEMING
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page