534  
FNUS75 KTFX 071609  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLANKENSHIP 141...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
1009 AM MDT WED MAY 7 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RECENT PRECIPITATION AND LINGERING PATCHY SNOW IS LIKELY KEEP  
HUMIDITY ELEVATED FROM PREVIOUS FORECASTS FOR TODAY. A SOUTHWEST  
FLOW ALOFT AROUND UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN MAINLY  
DRY CONDITIONS WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES  
EARLY TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO AFTERNOON CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT WITH AN  
ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON  
INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL WARMING AND DRYING IS EXPECTED  
THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). AN ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON  
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH WITH  
ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR LATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 7 5 5 4 3 5 7  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20  
TEMP............57 59 62 64 65 67 67 67  
RH..............42 40 38 35 33 32 30 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.5 4.5 5.0 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 20 15 15 15 15 15  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). AN ISOLATED SHOWER  
OR THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........8 10 12 12 11 12 10 10 8 15 26 26  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............68 66 63 56 54 52 50 49 49 47 47 47  
RH..............30 32 37 45 47 50 52 53 54 55 55 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S SW S SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 10 10 10 10 15 10 10 10 15 10 10  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS  
15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........36 52 64 41 62 43 48 48 48 48 48 48  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............46 48 51 57 61 63 66 67 68 69 69 68  
RH..............57 54 51 44 38 35 32 30 28 27 25 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.5 4.0 4.5 5.5 7.0 8.0 8.5 9.0 8.5 7.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 25 25 20 20  
 
 
FORECASTER...HOENISCH  
REQUESTED BY...EVAN HAUGAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2513382.0/TFX  
.DELDT 05/07/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EVAN.HAUGAN@USDA.GOV  
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