021  
FNUS75 KTFX 221010  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ARROWLEAF...STATE/LOCAL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
310 AM MST SUN FEB 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0504 MST ON FEBRUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE  
NORTHERN ROCKIES TODAY WITH A PERIOD OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH  
CLOUDS THIS MORNING BEFORE SKIES PARTIALLY CLEAR THIS AFTERNOON  
THROUGH THIS EVENING. A COLD AIRMASS LINGERS THIS MORNING BUT WILL  
BEGIN TO RECEDE BACK FROM THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT THIS  
AFTERNOON. TIMING OF THE COLD AIR RECEDING IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN  
BUT MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS TURNING  
SOUTHERLY AND TEMPERATURES QUICKLY RISING TO THE MID-UPPER 30S.  
WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOP TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY WITH A SHORT  
PERIOD OF SOME PATCHY BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW POSSIBLE AS THE GUSTY  
WINDS DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.  
 
A FAST AND MOIST WESTERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN INPLACE ACROSS THE  
NORTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WITH VERY WINDY  
CONDITIONS LIKELY BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND POTENTIAL FOR  
ADDITIONAL STRONG WIND PERIODS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.  
PRECIPITATION WILL SPILL EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AT TIMES LATE  
MONDAY AND TUESDAY BRINGING RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS BUT WIDESPREAD  
WETTING PRECIPITATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........78 79 78 85 76 66 38 19 10 10 9 9 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............7 9 10 12 17 21 26 31 34 37 39 38 38  
RH..............62 62 60 61 57 56 53 50 47 47 47 48 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 5 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN IR SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
PATCHY BLOWING SNOW DEVELOPING.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO WEST  
AROUND 30 MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........10 6 7 8 9 10 12 11 22 25 28 63  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RS RN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 33 32 34 35 35 34 36 36 33 37 38  
RH..............50 53 52 52 52 52 52 51 51 54 54 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 30 30 35 35 40 40 40  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 15 15 20 20 25 25 30 30 30 30  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING  
SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SNOW IN  
THE MORNING. RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...ZERO PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 40 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........63 63 63 63 63 79 79 79 79 79 79 80  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN RS RS RS RN RN RN RN RN RN RS  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 40 40 41 44 46 47 47 47 47 45 44  
RH..............54 54 55 55 55 54 54 54 54 54 55 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 20 20 20 25 25 25 30 30 30 30  
20 FT WIND GUST.40 40 40 40 40 45 45 45 50 50 50 50  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 2.5 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35 35 30 30  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
TUESDAY
 
 
WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 35 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
VERY WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 45 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...HOENISCH  
REQUESTED BY...BOB CULBRETH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602860.5/TFX  
.DELDT 02/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BOB.CULBRETH@MT.GOV  
 
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