622
FNUS75 KTFX 271125
FWSTFX
SPOT FORECAST FOR JERICHO CREEK FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
525 AM MDT WED MAY 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
TODAY AND TOMORROW THERE WILL BE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE FIRE. TODAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL AFFECT THE FIRE BETWEEN 1700 AND 2100. TODAY AND TOMORROW
WINDS WILL BE AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. TONIGHT
THERE WILL BE GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY. TOMORROW IT WILL BE HOT WITH
HUMIDITY AS LOW AS 15%.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 0 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40 30 31 27 34 34 55 56 67 67 66 65
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 15 15 15 15 15 15
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 30 35 35
TEMP............45 48 50 55 62 67 69 72 72 72 74 73
RH..............92 86 84 71 63 52 45 42 41 40 37 37
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SE E E NE NE NE E E NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 15 15 15 15 15
RIDGE WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E
RIDGE WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E N NE E E E E E SE E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
RIDGETOP...........EAST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5
TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........63 60 57 51 33 28 12 16 7 17 8 8
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............73 70 63 58 55 54 52 52 50 50 49 48
RH..............37 39 49 59 65 68 70 70 72 72 76 77
20 FT WIND DIR..N E E E E E E SE SE E SE E
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE S SE SE E E E
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 15 15 15 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 13 13 28 28 28 53 53 53 51 51 51
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............49 51 55 63 68 73 75 78 78 78 80 80
RH..............77 69 62 52 45 35 29 26 24 23 21 21
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 3.5 6.5 9.0 14 15 12 15 14
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE S S SE SE S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 10
FORECASTER...GESELL
REQUESTED BY...WILL MENNING
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613863.10/TFX
.DELDT 05/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MEGAN.NOLTE@USDA.GOV,AASHDALE@LCCOUNTYMT.GOV,MTHDC@FIRENET.GOV,WILLIAM.MENNING@USDA.GOV,SCOTT.NELSON@DNR.WA.GOV, TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV
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