214
FXUS65 KTFX 071724
AFDTFX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1124 AM MDT SUN JUN 7 2026
AVIATION SECTION UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY.
- RISK OF FROST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MONTANA
TONIGHT.
- DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS MONDAY WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER PERIOD OF UNSETTLED AND COOLER WEATHER TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.
UPDATE
/ISSUED 744 AM MDT SUN JUN 7 2026/
MORNING UPDATE HAS BEEN PUBLISHED, WITH THE MAIN CHANGE BEING TO
ADJUST POPS TO BETTER MATCH LATEST RADAR TRENDS (I.E. INCREASE
POPS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA) THROUGH THE LATE
MORNING HOURS. OTHERWISE THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IS ON
TRACK, WITH STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS EXPECTED
ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
MONTANA, GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A MONIDA PASS TO BIG SKY
LINE. - MOLDAN
DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 744 AM MDT SUN JUN 7 2026/
A FAIRLY POTENT SHORTWAVE PIVOTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
TODAY THROUGH THE BASE OF AN UNSEASONABLY COOL UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH/LOW LIFTING OUT INTO AB. A ROUND OF MORE WIDESPREAD SOWERS
MOVES THROUGH AS THE SHORTWAVE AND COLDER AIR ALOFT MOVE INTO THE
REGION, PRIMARILY THIS MORNING, WITH A SHOWERS LINGERING ACROSS
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AND ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE INTO THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS SILL LOOK TO FALL TO
AROUND 6000 FT BY LATE THIS MORNING, WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME
WET SNOW WITH LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION ACROSS SOME MOUNTAIN
PASSES, INCLUDING MACDONALD PASS AND KINGS HILL.
GUSTY WEST WINDS DEVELOPING BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE AND AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 50S TODAY WILL FEEL UNSEASONABLY COOL FOR
EARLY JUNE. PARTIAL CLEARING TONIGHT AND LIGHTER WINDS ACROSS
SOUTHWEST MT WILL ALLOW FOR EFFICIENT COOLING AND OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPS ARE LIKELY TO REACH THE LOWER 30S THERE AND MID 30S TO
AROUND 40 ACROSS THE PLAINS WHERE BREEZY WINDS WILL PERSIST
TONIGHT.
MONDAY WILL BE MAINLY DRY WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO SEASONAL
LEVELS. AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET ACROSS THE NORTH
PACIFIC SENDS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES INTO THE NW US WITHIN A
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT SHIFTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
AND MT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING DAILY CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY SOME THUNDERSTORMS WITH TEMPERATURES AGAIN
TRENDING BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES. HOENISCH
AVIATION
07/18Z TAF PERIOD
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY EXIT TO THE EAST
THROUGH 00-06Z MONDAY, WITH MVFR/LOW-VFR/VFR CONDITIONS IMPROVING
TO VFR THROUGH THIS TIMEFRAME. AS PRECIPITATION WINDS DOWN
WESTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE, WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS
EXPECTED OVER THE PLAINS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA.
WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-15 CORRIDOR, WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY. MOUNTAINS WILL REMAIN
OBSCURED THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. - MOLDAN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GTF 58 36 71 49 / 100 10 0 0
CTB 57 35 67 44 / 50 10 0 10
HLN 58 34 71 49 / 90 10 0 20
BZN 60 30 71 46 / 80 30 0 10
WYS 63 26 66 37 / 30 0 0 40
DLN 61 31 70 45 / 30 10 0 30
HVR 61 37 73 47 / 80 20 0 0
LWT 55 32 70 45 / 80 20 0 0
TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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