556  
FNUS75 KTFX 300336  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 72 BENCH...USWFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
936 PM MDT WED JUL 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 MDT ON JULY 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH  
SUNDAY EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THROUGH SATURDAY,  
WITH HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PERSIST BENEATH THE RIDGE.  
WHILE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM CAN'T BE RULED OUT ON  
THURSDAY, ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS, THE  
PROBABILITY FOR WETTING RAINFALL FROM THESE SHOWERS IS VERY LOW.  
BIGGEST IMPACT FROM ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY ON THURSDAY WILL BE GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE ON SATURDAY  
AHEAD OF POTENT COLD FRONT AND RIDGE BREAKDOWN, WITH HIGH  
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY PEAKING NEAR 105 DEGREES. ELEVATED TO  
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED AS THE  
RIDGE BREAKS DOWN LATE SATURDAY AND INTO SUNDAY, WITH A WIND  
SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO NORTH EXPECTED IN WAKE OF THE COLD  
FRONT.  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE  
THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........83 77 58 59 55 57 63 64  
WEATHER COV.....ARS PTY ARS ARS ARS PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 73 71 68 67 65 64 63  
RH..............40 42 46 51 53 56 57 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-97.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS OF 3 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........63 33 21 7 4 7 4 4 6 28 13 16  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 10 10  
TEMP............61 64 67 72 80 84 87 89 92 92 92 93  
RH..............62 58 52 44 36 31 27 24 22 21 20 19  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW NW N N N N NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.5 3.5 6.0 8.5 10 11 12 9.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW NW NW NW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........43 43 43 45 45 45 70 70 70 77 77 77  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............92 91 87 79 75 74 71 68 67 66 65 64  
RH..............21 23 29 35 42 44 49 55 55 57 57 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW E SE E S S SW SW SW S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-99.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS OF 3 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........46 46 46 20 20 20 3 3 3 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 65 68 73 78 84 88 91 93 94 95 96  
RH..............60 56 49 41 34 27 22 19 18 18 16 16  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S W W W NW NW NW N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.5 4.5 6.5 8.0 9.5 10 11 11  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
 
 
 
FORECASTER...MOLDAN  
REQUESTED BY...JAMES MATHISON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2618627.0/TFX  
.DELDT 07/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MTLEC@FIRENET.GOV, TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab MT Page
Main Text Page