875  
FNUS75 KTFX 192226  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RUGBY...HELENA INTERAGENCY DISPATCH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
426 PM MDT WED AUG 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 MDT ON AUGUST 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM NOW THROUGH  
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR STORMS COULD ARRIVE AS EARLY  
AS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT, OTHERWISE STORMS ARE LOOKING LIKELY BY LATE  
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW  
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE AT 4 TO 8 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........30 54 61 72 66 47 32 22 23 20 20 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 74 70 66 64 62 61 60 59 58 57 56  
RH..............32 36 41 42 42 44 44 44 44 45 48 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NE E E E E SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 5 5 5 5 10 10 10  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.0 4.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW W W N SE SE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING AROUND 20 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........21 22 17 12 18 23 25 24 23 22 21 21  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 55 57 61 68 71 74 76 78 79 80 80  
RH..............48 49 51 45 38 33 29 27 24 22 22 23  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S SW SW SW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 20 20  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 15 15 20 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.5 3.5 5.0 6.0 6.5 7.5 8.0 8.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.  
MAX HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........21 21 21 29 29 29 53 53 53 37 37 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............80 78 74 69 67 65 63 62 62 61 59 59  
RH..............23 28 32 34 34 36 36 36 36 37 39 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N E SE S SW SW W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 15 10 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.5 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 5 5 5 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........40 40 40 16 16 16 19 19 19 20 20 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 57 59 63 67 71 74 77 79 80 81 81  
RH..............40 44 46 46 45 42 39 37 32 28 23 21  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15  
RIDGE WIND DIR..N NW SW S S SW SW W W W NW NE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 0  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 5.0 6.5 7.0 7.0 6.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N NW NW NW NW NW W W NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10  
 
 
FORECASTER...BRUSDA  
REQUESTED BY...RCH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2620035.0/TFX  
.DELDT 08/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MTHDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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