814  
FGUS51 KTIR 181502  
RVFMNL  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NWS OHIO RIVER FORECAST CENTER, WILMINGTON OH  
1002 AM EST THU DEC 18 2025  
 
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE OHIO RIVER FORECAST CENTER.  
PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED ONLY BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.  
STATISTICAL UNCERTAINTIES CAN BE VIEWED FROM OUR ENSEMBLE PAGES AT:  
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/ERH/MMEFS  
 
:  
:************************************************************  
: YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER - CONFLUENCE, PA - CTP  
:  
: ACTION STAGE 7.0 FT  
: FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT  
: MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 14.0 FT  
: MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.2 FT AT 945 AM EST ON DEC 18  
:  
 
.ER CNFP1 20251218 Z DC202512181502/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 1218 : / 2.2 / 2.6 / 2.9  
.E2 : 1219 : / 3.3 / 3.9 / 4.4 / 4.6  
.E3 : 1220 : / 4.6 / 4.4 / 4.2 / 4.0  
.E4 : 1221 : / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.6  
.E5 : 1222 : / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.2  
.E6 : 1223 : / 3.2  
: LOCAL BASIN QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.16/ 0.36/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:GAGE READING ICE AFFECTED. FORECAST BASED ON ESTIMATES OF  
:ICE-AFFECTED STAGE.  
 
:************************************************************  
: YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER - OHIOPYLE, PA - PBZ  
:  
: ACTION STAGE 10.0 FT  
: FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT  
: MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT  
: MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.7 FT AT 915 AM EST ON DEC 18  
:  
 
.ER OPLP1 20251218 Z DC202512181502/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 1218 : / 1.8 / 1.9 / 2.3  
.E2 : 1219 : / 3.0 / 3.6 / 4.2 / 4.6  
.E3 : 1220 : / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.3 / 4.0  
.E4 : 1221 : / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.5 / 3.4  
.E5 : 1222 : / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.0 / 2.9  
.E6 : 1223 : / 2.8  
: LOCAL BASIN QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.12/ 0.40/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:GAGE READING ICE AFFECTED. FORECAST BASED ON ESTIMATES OF  
:ICE-AFFECTED STAGE.  
 
:************************************************************  
: YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER - CONNELLSVILLE, PA - PBZ  
:  
: ACTION STAGE 9.0 FT  
: FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT  
: MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT  
: MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.8 FT AT 915 AM EST ON DEC 18  
:  
 
.ER CLLP1 20251218 Z DC202512181502/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 1218 : / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.9  
.E2 : 1219 : / 3.4 / 4.1 / 4.7 / 5.1  
.E3 : 1220 : / 5.2 / 5.1 / 4.9 / 4.6  
.E4 : 1221 : / 4.5 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.1  
.E5 : 1222 : / 4.0 / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.6  
.E6 : 1223 : / 3.5  
: LOCAL BASIN QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.42/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:GAGE READING ICE AFFECTED. FORECAST BASED ON ESTIMATES OF  
:ICE-AFFECTED STAGE.  
 
:************************************************************  
: YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER - SUTERSVILLE, PA - PBZ  
:  
: ACTION STAGE 14.9 FT  
: FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT  
: MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT  
: MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.7 FT AT 915 AM EST ON DEC 18  
:  
 
.ER STSP1 20251218 Z DC202512181502/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 1218 : / 3.6 / 3.9 / 4.1  
.E2 : 1219 : / 4.7 / 5.3 / 6.2 / 7.0  
.E3 : 1220 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.2 / 6.9  
.E4 : 1221 : / 6.6 / 6.4 / 6.1 / 5.9  
.E5 : 1222 : / 5.7 / 5.6 / 5.4 / 5.3  
.E6 : 1223 : / 5.1  
: LOCAL BASIN QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.43/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
: MONONGAHELA RIVER - MAXWELL L&D, PA - PBZ  
:  
: ACTION STAGE 23.5 FT  
: FLOOD STAGE 32.0 FT  
: MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 34.0 FT  
: MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 9.9 FT AT 900 AM EST ON DEC 18  
:  
 
.ER MAXP1 20251218 Z DC202512181502/DH18/HTIFFZZ/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 1218 : / 10.0 / 10.0 / 10.2  
.E2 : 1219 : / 10.5 / 11.0 / 11.8 / 12.3  
.E3 : 1220 : / 12.5 / 12.4 / 12.1 / 11.9  
.E4 : 1221 : / 11.6 / 11.3 / 11.0 / 10.9  
.E5 : 1222 : / 10.8 / 10.6 / 10.6 / 10.7  
.E6 : 1223 : / 10.7  
: LOCAL BASIN QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.40/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
: MONONGAHELA RIVER - CHARLEROI, PA - PBZ  
:  
: ACTION STAGE 22.6 FT  
: FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT  
: MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT  
: MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 7.0 FT AT 800 AM EST ON DEC 18  
:  
 
.ER CHRP1 20251218 Z DC202512181502/DH18/HTIFFZZ/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 1218 : / 7.3 / 7.5 / 7.8  
.E2 : 1219 : / 8.5 / 9.9 / 12.9 / 14.8  
.E3 : 1220 : / 15.3 / 15.1 / 14.4 / 13.4  
.E4 : 1221 : / 12.2 / 11.0 / 10.1 / 9.8  
.E5 : 1222 : / 9.5 / 9.0 / 9.0 / 9.3  
.E6 : 1223 : / 9.3  
: LOCAL BASIN QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.40/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
: MONONGAHELA RIVER - BRADDOCK, PA - PBZ  
:  
: ACTION STAGE 18.2 FT  
: FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT  
: MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT  
: MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 14.5 FT AT 943 AM EST ON DEC 18  
:  
 
.ER BDDP1 20251218 Z DC202512181502/DH18/HPIFFZZ/DIH6  
:POOL FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 1218 : / 14.5 / 14.6 / 14.7  
.E2 : 1219 : / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.7  
.E3 : 1220 : / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.7  
.E4 : 1221 : / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.7  
.E5 : 1222 : / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.7  
.E6 : 1223 : / 14.7  
: LOCAL BASIN QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.39/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
 
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
 
: ASTIFAN  
:  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
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