877  
FGUS54 KTUA 201259  
RVFLZK  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK  
659 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026  
 
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER  
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS  
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.  
 
: FORECAST GROUP IS KERR -- PINE BLUFF  
:  
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:DARDANELLE, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 280.16 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 32.0 FT MINOR STAGE 32.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 36.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 40.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 4.6 FT AT 500 AM CST ON FEB 20  
:  
.ER DARA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 5.2 / 5.5 / 5.4  
.E2 : 0221 : / 5.4 / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.2  
.E3 : 0222 : / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.2  
.E4 : 0223 : / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.3 / 5.4  
.E5 : 0224 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5  
.E6 : 0225 : / 5.5  
.ER DARA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 0221 : / 0.00  
.AR DARA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER DARA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 15.60 / 16.40 / 15.35  
.E2 : 0221 : / 14.70 / 14.22 / 13.58 / 12.90  
.E3 : 0222 : / 12.44 / 12.29 / 12.40 / 12.62  
.E4 : 0223 : / 12.98 / 13.59 / 14.38 / 15.21  
.E5 : 0224 : / 15.89 / 16.30 / 16.52 / 16.58  
.E6 : 0225 : / 16.54  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:MORRILTON, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 255.55 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 29.0 FT MINOR STAGE 30.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.5 FT AT 615 AM CST ON FEB 20  
:  
.ER MORA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 9.7 / 9.8 / 9.8  
.E2 : 0221 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7  
.E3 : 0222 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7  
.E4 : 0223 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.8  
.E5 : 0224 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8  
.E6 : 0225 : / 9.8  
.ER MORA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 0221 : / 0.00  
.AR MORA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER MORA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 16.51 / 17.44 / 16.79  
.E2 : 0221 : / 16.22 / 15.91 / 15.37 / 14.82  
.E3 : 0222 : / 14.50 / 14.45 / 14.60 / 14.84  
.E4 : 0223 : / 15.18 / 15.74 / 16.46 / 17.23  
.E5 : 0224 : / 17.75 / 18.14 / 18.34 / 18.40  
.E6 : 0225 : / 18.37  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:TOAD SUCK L&D, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ACTION STAGE 273.0 FT MINOR STAGE 275.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 278.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 280.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST TAILWATER STAGE IS 248.9 FT AT 600 AM CST ON FEB 20  
:  
.ER TODA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/HTIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 250.2 / 250.6 / 250.6  
.E2 : 0221 : / 250.5 / 250.5 / 250.4 / 250.3  
.E3 : 0222 : / 250.3 / 250.3 / 250.3 / 250.3  
.E4 : 0223 : / 250.3 / 250.4 / 250.5 / 250.5  
.E5 : 0224 : / 250.6 / 250.7 / 250.7 / 250.7  
.E6 : 0225 : / 250.7  
.ER TODA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 0221 : / 0.00  
.AR TODA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER TODA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 14.37 / 17.94 / 17.86  
.E2 : 0221 : / 17.26 / 16.84 / 16.33 / 15.75  
.E3 : 0222 : / 15.34 / 15.19 / 15.27 / 15.46  
.E4 : 0223 : / 15.75 / 16.24 / 16.86 / 17.59  
.E5 : 0224 : / 18.17 / 18.59 / 18.84 / 18.93  
.E6 : 0225 : / 18.92  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:LITTLE ROCK, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 223.61 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 18.0 FT MINOR STAGE 23.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.4 FT AT 500 AM CST ON FEB 20  
:  
.ER LITA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3  
.E2 : 0221 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3  
.E3 : 0222 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3  
.E4 : 0223 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3  
.E5 : 0224 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3  
.E6 : 0225 : / 7.3  
.ER LITA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 0221 : / 0.00  
.AR LITA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER LITA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 21.17 / 19.52 / 19.76  
.E2 : 0221 : / 19.97 / 19.89 / 19.60 / 19.14  
.E3 : 0222 : / 18.57 / 18.02 / 17.59 / 17.30  
.E4 : 0223 : / 17.15 / 17.16 / 17.35 / 17.70  
.E5 : 0224 : / 18.16 / 18.65 / 19.09 / 19.44  
.E6 : 0225 : / 19.68  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:PINE BLUFF, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 164.71 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 40.0 FT MINOR STAGE 42.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 44.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 45.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 31.3 FT AT 600 AM CST ON FEB 20  
:  
.ER PBFA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.2  
.E2 : 0221 : / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.2  
.E3 : 0222 : / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.2  
.E4 : 0223 : / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.2  
.E5 : 0224 : / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.2  
.E6 : 0225 : / 31.2  
.ER PBFA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.04  
.E2 : 0221 : / 0.00  
.AR PBFA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.04  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE IS ** ESTIMATED **  
:AT 31.02 KCFS AT 600 AM CST ON FEB 20  
:  
.ER PBFA4 0219 C DC202602200659/DH12/QTIRZ/DIH6  
:FLOW / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM / 6AM  
.E1 : 0219 : /31.83E /31.55E /31.11E /31.02E  
:  
.ER PBFA4 0220 C DC202602200659/DH12/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0220 : / 30.01 / 26.64 / 22.57  
.E2 : 0221 : / 20.48 / 20.23 / 20.35 / 20.27  
.E3 : 0222 : / 19.98 / 19.52 / 18.97 / 18.44  
.E4 : 0223 : / 18.00 / 17.70 / 17.54 / 17.55  
.E5 : 0224 : / 17.73 / 18.06 / 18.49 / 18.95  
.E6 : 0225 : / 19.37  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
.AR TUA 0220 C DT202602201259/YIIRZ 17 : HLC  
:  

 
:  
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES  
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML  
:  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
 
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