087  
FGUS54 KTUA 131309  
RVFLZK  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK  
809 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
 
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER  
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS  
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.  
 
: FORECAST GROUP IS KERR -- PINE BLUFF  
:  
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:DARDANELLE, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 280.16 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 32.0 FT MINOR STAGE 32.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 36.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 40.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 8.5 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON MAR 13  
:  
.ER DARA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 8.5 / 8.5 / 8.7  
.E2 : 0314 : / 8.6 / 8.5 / 8.4 / 8.4  
.E3 : 0315 : / 8.4 / 8.4 / 8.5 / 8.5  
.E4 : 0316 : / 8.5 / 8.5 / 8.4 / 8.3  
.E5 : 0317 : / 8.1 / 8.0 / 7.9 / 7.9  
.E6 : 0318 : / 7.8  
.ER DARA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 0314 : / 0.00  
.AR DARA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER DARA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 36.74 / 39.94 / 42.97  
.E2 : 0314 : / 41.31 / 39.87 / 39.09 / 38.83  
.E3 : 0315 : / 38.92 / 39.17 / 39.38 / 39.47  
.E4 : 0316 : / 39.44 / 39.37 / 39.08 / 38.33  
.E5 : 0317 : / 37.17 / 36.12 / 35.55 / 35.30  
.E6 : 0318 : / 35.13  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:MORRILTON, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 255.55 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 29.0 FT MINOR STAGE 30.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 11.7 FT AT 715 AM CDT ON MAR 13  
:  
.ER MORA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 11.7 / 11.7 / 11.8  
.E2 : 0314 : / 11.7 / 11.7 / 11.7 / 11.6  
.E3 : 0315 : / 11.6 / 11.6 / 11.6 / 11.5  
.E4 : 0316 : / 11.5 / 11.5 / 11.4 / 11.3  
.E5 : 0317 : / 11.2 / 11.1 / 11.0 / 10.9  
.E6 : 0318 : / 10.9  
.ER MORA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 0314 : / 0.00  
.AR MORA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER MORA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 47.40 / 49.23 / 51.73  
.E2 : 0314 : / 51.15 / 49.27 / 47.84 / 47.07  
.E3 : 0315 : / 46.73 / 46.56 / 46.35 / 46.02  
.E4 : 0316 : / 45.55 / 45.00 / 44.27 / 43.17  
.E5 : 0317 : / 41.63 / 40.04 / 38.82 / 37.97  
.E6 : 0318 : / 37.27  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:TOAD SUCK L&D, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ACTION STAGE 273.0 FT MINOR STAGE 275.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 278.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 280.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST TAILWATER STAGE IS 253.7 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON MAR 13  
:  
.ER TODA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/HTIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 253.9 / 253.9 / 254.1  
.E2 : 0314 : / 254.2 / 254.2 / 254.1 / 253.9  
.E3 : 0315 : / 253.7 / 253.7 / 253.6 / 253.6  
.E4 : 0316 : / 253.5 / 253.4 / 253.3 / 253.1  
.E5 : 0317 : / 252.9 / 252.7 / 252.4 / 252.2  
.E6 : 0318 : / 252.0  
.ER TODA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 0314 : / 0.00  
.AR TODA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER TODA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 48.49 / 48.96 / 50.61  
.E2 : 0314 : / 51.69 / 51.14 / 49.77 / 48.56  
.E3 : 0315 : / 47.80 / 47.39 / 47.11 / 46.83  
.E4 : 0316 : / 46.45 / 45.96 / 45.35 / 44.51  
.E5 : 0317 : / 43.25 / 41.74 / 40.27 / 39.12  
.E6 : 0318 : / 38.27  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:LITTLE ROCK, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 223.61 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 18.0 FT MINOR STAGE 23.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.7 FT AT 600 AM CDT ON MAR 13  
:  
.ER LITA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 7.7 / 7.7 / 7.7  
.E2 : 0314 : / 7.7 / 7.7 / 7.7 / 7.7  
.E3 : 0315 : / 7.7 / 7.7 / 7.7 / 7.7  
.E4 : 0316 : / 7.7 / 7.7 / 7.6 / 7.6  
.E5 : 0317 : / 7.6 / 7.6 / 7.5 / 7.5  
.E6 : 0318 : / 7.5  
.ER LITA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 0314 : / 0.00  
.AR LITA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER LITA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 48.33 / 48.65 / 49.45  
.E2 : 0314 : / 50.66 / 51.44 / 51.33 / 50.67  
.E3 : 0315 : / 49.95 / 49.41 / 49.09 / 48.67  
.E4 : 0316 : / 48.28 / 47.86 / 47.36 / 46.72  
.E5 : 0317 : / 45.85 / 44.70 / 43.38 / 42.05  
.E6 : 0318 : / 40.89  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:PINE BLUFF, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 164.71 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 40.0 FT MINOR STAGE 42.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 44.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 45.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 31.5 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON MAR 13  
:  
.ER PBFA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 31.6 / 31.6 / 31.6  
.E2 : 0314 : / 31.6 / 31.6 / 31.7 / 31.7  
.E3 : 0315 : / 31.7 / 31.6 / 31.6 / 31.6  
.E4 : 0316 : / 31.6 / 31.6 / 31.6 / 31.6  
.E5 : 0317 : / 31.6 / 31.5 / 31.5 / 31.5  
.E6 : 0318 : / 31.5  
.ER PBFA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 0314 : / 0.00  
.AR PBFA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE IS ** ESTIMATED **  
:AT 47.70 KCFS AT 700 AM CDT ON MAR 13  
:  
.ER PBFA4 0312 C DC202603130809/DH13/QTIRZ/DIH6  
:FLOW / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM / 7AM  
.E1 : 0312 : /44.54E /45.42E /47.08E /47.70E  
:  
.ER PBFA4 0313 C DC202603130809/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 0313 : / 48.18 / 49.49 / 50.17  
.E2 : 0314 : / 50.38 / 50.95 / 51.79 / 52.31  
.E3 : 0315 : / 52.18 / 51.55 / 50.81 / 50.22  
.E4 : 0316 : / 49.77 / 49.34 / 48.89 / 48.42  
.E5 : 0317 : / 47.88 / 47.20 / 46.30 / 45.15  
.E6 : 0318 : / 43.86  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
.AR TUA 0313 C DT202603131309/YIIRZ 17 : HLC  
:  
 
:  
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES  
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML  
:  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab RFC Page
Main Text Page