717
FGUS54 KTUA 191354
RVFLZK
RIVER FORECAST
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK
854 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2026
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.
: FORECAST GROUP IS KERR -- PINE BLUFF
:
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.
:
:*******************************************************************
:DARDANELLE, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 280.16 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 32.0 FT MINOR STAGE 32.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 36.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 40.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 5.2 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON MAY 19
:
.ER DARA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5
.E2 : 0520 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5
.E3 : 0521 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5
.E4 : 0522 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5
.E5 : 0523 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5
.E6 : 0524 : / 5.5
.ER DARA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 0.48 / 0.56 / 0.00
.E2 : 0520 : / 0.02
.AR DARA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.06
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER DARA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 25.05 / 21.59 / 16.45
.E2 : 0520 : / 14.50 / 13.70 / 13.51 / 13.71
.E3 : 0521 : / 13.83 / 13.52 / 12.73 / 11.83
.E4 : 0522 : / 11.23 / 11.04 / 11.09 / 11.12
.E5 : 0523 : / 11.04 / 10.88 / 10.69 / 10.49
.E6 : 0524 : / 10.30
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:DANVILLE, AR - PETIT JEAN RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 303.33 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 20.0 FT MINOR STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 26.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 11.2 FT AT 745 AM CDT ON MAY 19
:
.ER DANA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 11.3 / 10.9 / 10.7
.E2 : 0520 : / 10.7 / 10.6 / 10.6 / 10.6
.E3 : 0521 : / 10.5 / 10.5 / 10.5 / 10.5
.E4 : 0522 : / 10.5 / 10.5 / 10.4 / 10.4
.E5 : 0523 : / 10.4 / 10.4 / 10.4 / 10.4
.E6 : 0524 : / 10.4
.ER DANA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 0.55 / 0.61 / 0.00
.E2 : 0520 : / 0.00
.AR DANA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.16
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:MORRILTON, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 255.55 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 29.0 FT MINOR STAGE 30.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.7 FT AT 815 AM CDT ON MAY 19
:
.ER MORA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E2 : 0520 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E3 : 0521 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E4 : 0522 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6
.E5 : 0523 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6
.E6 : 0524 : / 9.6
.ER MORA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 0.28 / 0.67 / 0.03
.E2 : 0520 : / 0.02
.AR MORA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER MORA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 24.52 / 22.83 / 17.94
.E2 : 0520 : / 15.09 / 14.26 / 14.06 / 14.24
.E3 : 0521 : / 14.36 / 14.06 / 13.28 / 12.47
.E4 : 0522 : / 12.16 / 12.22 / 12.23 / 12.05
.E5 : 0523 : / 11.83 / 11.64 / 11.46 / 11.24
.E6 : 0524 : / 11.01
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:TOAD SUCK L&D, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ACTION STAGE 273.0 FT MINOR STAGE 275.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 278.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 280.0 FT
:
:LATEST TAILWATER STAGE IS 249.5 FT AT 800 AM CDT ON MAY 19
:
.ER TODA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/HTIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 249.3 / 249.3 / 249.3
.E2 : 0520 : / 249.3 / 249.3 / 249.3 / 249.3
.E3 : 0521 : / 249.3 / 249.3 / 249.3 / 249.3
.E4 : 0522 : / 249.3 / 249.3 / 249.3 / 249.3
.E5 : 0523 : / 249.3 / 249.3 / 249.3 / 249.3
.E6 : 0524 : / 249.3
.ER TODA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 0.06 / 0.58 / 0.06
.E2 : 0520 : / 0.05
.AR TODA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.75
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER TODA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 22.42 / 23.38 / 19.94
.E2 : 0520 : / 16.23 / 14.62 / 14.22 / 14.29
.E3 : 0521 : / 14.43 / 14.24 / 13.59 / 12.80
.E4 : 0522 : / 12.32 / 12.30 / 12.32 / 12.18
.E5 : 0523 : / 11.96 / 11.76 / 11.58 / 11.37
.E6 : 0524 : / 11.14
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:LITTLE ROCK, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 223.61 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 18.0 FT MINOR STAGE 23.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.5 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON MAY 19
:
.ER LITA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 7.5 / 7.5 / 7.5
.E2 : 0520 : / 7.5 / 7.5 / 7.5 / 7.5
.E3 : 0521 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E4 : 0522 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E5 : 0523 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E6 : 0524 : / 7.4
.ER LITA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 0.01 / 0.53 / 0.03
.E2 : 0520 : / 0.03
.AR LITA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.60
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER LITA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 12.98 / 16.63 / 18.92
.E2 : 0520 : / 19.17 / 18.21 / 17.04 / 16.15
.E3 : 0521 : / 15.62 / 15.28 / 14.93 / 14.47
.E4 : 0522 : / 13.93 / 13.47 / 13.16 / 12.94
.E5 : 0523 : / 12.75 / 12.56 / 12.38 / 12.18
.E6 : 0524 : / 11.99
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:PINE BLUFF, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 164.71 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 40.0 FT MINOR STAGE 42.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 44.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 45.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 31.5 FT AT 800 AM CDT ON MAY 19
:
.ER PBFA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 31.5 / 31.5 / 31.5
.E2 : 0520 : / 31.5 / 31.5 / 31.5 / 31.5
.E3 : 0521 : / 31.5 / 31.5 / 31.5 / 31.5
.E4 : 0522 : / 31.5 / 31.5 / 31.5 / 31.5
.E5 : 0523 : / 31.4 / 31.4 / 31.4 / 31.4
.E6 : 0524 : / 31.4
.ER PBFA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 0.00 / 0.76 / 0.08
.E2 : 0520 : / 0.06
.AR PBFA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.90
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE IS ** ESTIMATED **
:AT 7.96 KCFS AT 700 AM CDT ON MAY 19
:
.ER PBFA4 0518 C DC202605190854/DH13/QTIRZ/DIH6
:FLOW / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM / 7AM
.E1 : 0518 : / 8.97E / 8.37E / 8.09E / 7.96E
:
.ER PBFA4 0519 C DC202605190854/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0519 : / 8.41 / 10.18 / 13.22
.E2 : 0520 : / 16.46 / 18.58 / 19.04 / 18.32
.E3 : 0521 : / 17.28 / 16.40 / 15.83 / 15.43
.E4 : 0522 : / 15.06 / 14.60 / 14.10 / 13.66
.E5 : 0523 : / 13.33 / 13.09 / 12.90 / 12.70
.E6 : 0524 : / 12.51
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.AR TUA 0519 C DT202605191354/YIIRZ 31 : KLE
:
:
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML
:
:...END OF MESSAGE...
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