937
FGUS54 KTUA 211308
RVFLZK
RIVER FORECAST
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK
807 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.
: FORECAST GROUP IS KERR -- PINE BLUFF
:
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.
:
:*******************************************************************
:DARDANELLE, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 280.16 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 32.0 FT MINOR STAGE 32.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 36.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 40.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 5.4 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON MAY 21
:
.ER DARA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 6.0 / 6.0 / 5.9
.E2 : 0522 : / 5.9 / 5.8 / 5.7 / 5.7
.E3 : 0523 : / 5.7 / 5.8 / 5.9 / 6.0
.E4 : 0524 : / 6.0 / 6.0 / 5.9 / 5.8
.E5 : 0525 : / 5.8 / 5.7 / 5.6 / 5.5
.E6 : 0526 : / 5.4
.ER DARA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.06
.E2 : 0522 : / 0.24
.AR DARA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.30
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER DARA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 21.93 / 22.20 / 21.28
.E2 : 0522 : / 20.71 / 19.69 / 18.73 / 18.35
.E3 : 0523 : / 18.58 / 19.49 / 20.85 / 21.97
.E4 : 0524 : / 22.31 / 21.94 / 21.15 / 20.20
.E5 : 0525 : / 19.17 / 18.10 / 17.05 / 16.06
.E6 : 0526 : / 15.18
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:DANVILLE, AR - PETIT JEAN RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 303.33 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 20.0 FT MINOR STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 26.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 11.7 FT AT 645 AM CDT ON MAY 21
:
.ER DANA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 11.7 / 11.6 / 11.4
.E2 : 0522 : / 11.2 / 11.0 / 10.9 / 10.9
.E3 : 0523 : / 10.8 / 10.7 / 10.7 / 10.7
.E4 : 0524 : / 10.6 / 10.6 / 10.6 / 10.6
.E5 : 0525 : / 10.6 / 10.6 / 10.6 / 10.6
.E6 : 0526 : / 10.5
.ER DANA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.06
.E2 : 0522 : / 0.24
.AR DANA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.30
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:MORRILTON, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 255.55 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 29.0 FT MINOR STAGE 30.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 10.1 FT AT 715 AM CDT ON MAY 21
:
.ER MORA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 10.1 / 10.2 / 10.1
.E2 : 0522 : / 10.1 / 10.1 / 10.0 / 10.0
.E3 : 0523 : / 10.0 / 10.1 / 10.1 / 10.2
.E4 : 0524 : / 10.2 / 10.2 / 10.2 / 10.1
.E5 : 0525 : / 10.0 / 10.0 / 9.9 / 9.9
.E6 : 0526 : / 9.8
.ER MORA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.01
.E2 : 0522 : / 0.26
.AR MORA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.27
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER MORA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 22.22 / 23.01 / 22.36
.E2 : 0522 : / 21.95 / 21.36 / 20.63 / 20.28
.E3 : 0523 : / 20.43 / 21.19 / 22.40 / 23.54
.E4 : 0524 : / 24.04 / 23.80 / 23.01 / 21.95
.E5 : 0525 : / 20.73 / 19.49 / 18.29 / 17.17
.E6 : 0526 : / 16.21
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:TOAD SUCK L&D, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ACTION STAGE 273.0 FT MINOR STAGE 275.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 278.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 280.0 FT
:
:LATEST TAILWATER STAGE IS 250.1 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON MAY 21
:
.ER TODA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/HTIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 250.4 / 250.6 / 250.7
.E2 : 0522 : / 250.7 / 250.6 / 250.5 / 250.5
.E3 : 0523 : / 250.5 / 250.6 / 250.7 / 250.9
.E4 : 0524 : / 251.0 / 251.0 / 250.9 / 250.8
.E5 : 0525 : / 250.6 / 250.5 / 250.3 / 250.1
.E6 : 0526 : / 250.0
.ER TODA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.02
.E2 : 0522 : / 0.24
.AR TODA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.26
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER TODA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 21.02 / 22.66 / 22.67
.E2 : 0522 : / 22.24 / 21.70 / 21.01 / 20.52
.E3 : 0523 : / 20.47 / 20.99 / 22.01 / 23.10
.E4 : 0524 : / 23.86 / 23.96 / 23.43 / 22.51
.E5 : 0525 : / 21.33 / 20.08 / 18.86 / 17.64
.E6 : 0526 : / 16.62
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:LITTLE ROCK, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 223.61 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 18.0 FT MINOR STAGE 23.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.6 FT AT 600 AM CDT ON MAY 21
:
.ER LITA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 7.5 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E2 : 0522 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E3 : 0523 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E4 : 0524 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E5 : 0525 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E6 : 0526 : / 7.4
.ER LITA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.06
.E2 : 0522 : / 0.24
.AR LITA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.30
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER LITA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 16.97 / 18.98 / 20.69
.E2 : 0522 : / 21.73 / 22.17 / 22.17 / 21.92
.E3 : 0523 : / 21.62 / 21.46 / 21.59 / 22.04
.E4 : 0524 : / 22.72 / 23.36 / 23.71 / 23.65
.E5 : 0525 : / 23.22 / 22.47 / 21.55 / 20.53
.E6 : 0526 : / 19.47
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:PINE BLUFF, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 164.71 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 40.0 FT MINOR STAGE 42.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 44.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 45.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 31.3 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON MAY 21
:
.ER PBFA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.3
.E2 : 0522 : / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3
.E3 : 0523 : / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3
.E4 : 0524 : / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3
.E5 : 0525 : / 31.4 / 31.4 / 31.3 / 31.3
.E6 : 0526 : / 31.3
.ER PBFA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 0.00 / 0.06 / 0.17
.E2 : 0522 : / 0.13
.AR PBFA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.36
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE IS ** ESTIMATED **
:AT 13.93 KCFS AT 700 AM CDT ON MAY 21
:
.ER PBFA4 0520 C DC202605210807/DH13/QTIRZ/DIH6
:FLOW / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM / 7AM
.E1 : 0520 : /12.97E /13.00E /13.34E /13.93E
:
.ER PBFA4 0521 C DC202605210807/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0521 : / 14.63 / 15.65 / 17.21
.E2 : 0522 : / 19.06 / 20.68 / 21.73 / 22.21
.E3 : 0523 : / 22.26 / 22.05 / 21.80 / 21.67
.E4 : 0524 : / 21.81 / 22.24 / 22.85 / 23.42
.E5 : 0525 : / 23.74 / 23.69 / 23.27 / 22.55
.E6 : 0526 : / 21.65
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.AR TUA 0521 C DT202605211307/YIIRZ 19 : MBV
:
:
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML
:
:...END OF MESSAGE...
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