268
FGUS54 KTUA 211333
RVFLZK
RIVER FORECAST
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK
833 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.
: FORECAST GROUP IS KERR -- PINE BLUFF
:
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.
:
:*******************************************************************
:DARDANELLE, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 280.16 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 32.0 FT MINOR STAGE 32.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 36.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 40.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 5.8 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON SEP 21
:
.ER DARA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 5.8 / 5.8 / 5.8
.E2 : 0922 : / 5.8 / 5.8 / 5.8 / 5.7
.E3 : 0923 : / 5.7 / 5.8 / 5.8 / 5.8
.E4 : 0924 : / 5.8 / 5.8 / 5.8 / 5.8
.E5 : 0925 : / 5.8 / 5.8 / 5.8 / 5.8
.E6 : 0926 : / 5.8
.ER DARA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 0.01 / 0.01 / 0.00
.E2 : 0922 : / 0.06
.AR DARA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.08
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER DARA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 8.16 / 5.81 / 4.79
.E2 : 0922 : / 4.19 / 3.59 / 3.01 / 2.70
.E3 : 0923 : / 2.82 / 3.13 / 3.28 / 3.21
.E4 : 0924 : / 3.63 / 3.84 / 3.71 / 3.41
.E5 : 0925 : / 3.19 / 3.11 / 3.09 / 3.08
.E6 : 0926 : / 3.07
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:DANVILLE, AR - PETIT JEAN RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 303.33 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 20.0 FT MINOR STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 26.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.6 FT AT 745 AM CDT ON SEP 21
:
.ER DANA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6
.E2 : 0922 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.7
.E3 : 0923 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E4 : 0924 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E5 : 0925 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E6 : 0926 : / 9.7
.ER DANA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 0.00 / 0.02 / 0.00
.E2 : 0922 : / 0.02
.AR DANA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.04
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:MORRILTON, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 255.55 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 29.0 FT MINOR STAGE 30.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.7 FT AT 715 AM CDT ON SEP 21
:
.ER MORA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E2 : 0922 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E3 : 0923 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E4 : 0924 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E5 : 0925 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E6 : 0926 : / 9.7
.ER MORA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 0922 : / 0.06
.AR MORA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.08
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER MORA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 8.38 / 5.89 / 4.86
.E2 : 0922 : / 4.26 / 3.67 / 3.09 / 2.77
.E3 : 0923 : / 2.88 / 3.20 / 3.34 / 3.28
.E4 : 0924 : / 3.69 / 3.90 / 3.77 / 3.47
.E5 : 0925 : / 3.25 / 3.18 / 3.15 / 3.15
.E6 : 0926 : / 3.14
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:TOAD SUCK L&D, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ACTION STAGE 273.0 FT MINOR STAGE 275.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 278.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 280.0 FT
:
:LATEST TAILWATER STAGE IS 248.8 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON SEP 21
:
.ER TODA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/HTIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9
.E2 : 0922 : / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9
.E3 : 0923 : / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9
.E4 : 0924 : / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9
.E5 : 0925 : / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9
.E6 : 0926 : / 248.9
.ER TODA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 0.03 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 0922 : / 0.05
.AR TODA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.08
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER TODA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 11.81 / 6.32 / 4.91
.E2 : 0922 : / 4.31 / 3.71 / 3.13 / 2.81
.E3 : 0923 : / 2.92 / 3.24 / 3.38 / 3.32
.E4 : 0924 : / 3.73 / 3.94 / 3.81 / 3.51
.E5 : 0925 : / 3.29 / 3.22 / 3.20 / 3.19
.E6 : 0926 : / 3.18
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:LITTLE ROCK, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 223.61 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 18.0 FT MINOR STAGE 23.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.4 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON SEP 21
:
.ER LITA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E2 : 0922 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E3 : 0923 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E4 : 0924 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E5 : 0925 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E6 : 0926 : / 7.4
.ER LITA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 0922 : / 0.01
.AR LITA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.01
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER LITA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 21.16 / 17.38 / 13.47
.E2 : 0922 : / 10.48 / 8.36 / 6.80 / 5.63
.E3 : 0923 : / 4.79 / 4.26 / 3.98 / 3.83
.E4 : 0924 : / 3.77 / 3.81 / 3.88 / 3.89
.E5 : 0925 : / 3.81 / 3.69 / 3.58 / 3.50
.E6 : 0926 : / 3.44
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:PINE BLUFF, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 164.71 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 40.0 FT MINOR STAGE 42.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 44.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 45.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 31.1 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON SEP 21
:
.ER PBFA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 31.1 / 31.0 / 30.9
.E2 : 0922 : / 30.9 / 30.9 / 31.1 / 31.2
.E3 : 0923 : / 31.3 / 31.2 / 31.1 / 31.0
.E4 : 0924 : / 31.0 / 31.0 / 31.1 / 31.2
.E5 : 0925 : / 31.3 / 31.2 / 31.1 / 31.0
.E6 : 0926 : / 30.9
.ER PBFA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.03
.E2 : 0922 : / 0.00
.AR PBFA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.03
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE IS ** ESTIMATED **
:AT 22.68 KCFS AT 700 AM CDT ON SEP 21
:
.ER PBFA4 0920 C DC202609210833/DH13/QTIRZ/DIH6
:FLOW / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM / 7AM
.E1 : 0920 : /19.93E /21.63E /22.43E /22.68E
:
.ER PBFA4 0921 C DC202609210833/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0921 : / 22.94 / 22.61 / 20.70
.E2 : 0922 : / 17.35 / 13.71 / 10.71 / 8.51
.E3 : 0923 : / 6.91 / 5.73 / 4.88 / 4.34
.E4 : 0924 : / 4.03 / 3.86 / 3.80 / 3.83
.E5 : 0925 : / 3.88 / 3.88 / 3.81 / 3.70
.E6 : 0926 : / 3.60
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.AR TUA 0921 C DT202609211333/YIIRZ 29 : XWX
:
:
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML
:
:...END OF MESSAGE...
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