206
FGUS54 KTUA 221345
RVFLZK
RIVER FORECAST
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK
844 AM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.
: FORECAST GROUP IS KERR -- PINE BLUFF
:
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.
:
:*******************************************************************
:DARDANELLE, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 280.16 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 32.0 FT MINOR STAGE 32.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 36.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 40.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 5.3 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON SEP 22
:
.ER DARA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E2 : 0923 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E3 : 0924 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E4 : 0925 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E5 : 0926 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E6 : 0927 : / 5.4
.ER DARA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 0.01 / 0.01 / 0.00
.E2 : 0923 : / 0.00
.AR DARA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.02
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER DARA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 3.84 / 2.42 / 2.11
.E2 : 0923 : / 1.84 / 1.58 / 1.32 / 1.05
.E3 : 0924 : / 0.79 / 0.53 / 0.26 / 0.00
.E4 : 0925 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E5 : 0926 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E6 : 0927 : / 0.00
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:DANVILLE, AR - PETIT JEAN RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 303.33 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 20.0 FT MINOR STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 26.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.6 FT AT 745 AM CDT ON SEP 22
:
.ER DANA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.7
.E2 : 0923 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E3 : 0924 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E4 : 0925 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E5 : 0926 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E6 : 0927 : / 9.7
.ER DANA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.00
.E2 : 0923 : / 0.00
.AR DANA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.01
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:MORRILTON, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 255.55 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 29.0 FT MINOR STAGE 30.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.8 FT AT 815 AM CDT ON SEP 22
:
.ER MORA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8
.E2 : 0923 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8
.E3 : 0924 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8
.E4 : 0925 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8
.E5 : 0926 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8
.E6 : 0927 : / 9.8
.ER MORA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 0923 : / 0.00
.AR MORA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.01
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER MORA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 3.97 / 2.50 / 2.18
.E2 : 0923 : / 1.91 / 1.65 / 1.38 / 1.12
.E3 : 0924 : / 0.85 / 0.59 / 0.33 / 0.06
.E4 : 0925 : / 0.07 / 0.07 / 0.07 / 0.07
.E5 : 0926 : / 0.07 / 0.07 / 0.07 / 0.07
.E6 : 0927 : / 0.07
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:TOAD SUCK L&D, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ACTION STAGE 273.0 FT MINOR STAGE 275.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 278.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 280.0 FT
:
:LATEST TAILWATER STAGE IS 248.8 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON SEP 22
:
.ER TODA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/HTIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 248.8 / 248.9 / 248.9
.E2 : 0923 : / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9
.E3 : 0924 : / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9
.E4 : 0925 : / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9
.E5 : 0926 : / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9
.E6 : 0927 : / 248.9
.ER TODA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 0923 : / 0.00
.AR TODA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.01
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER TODA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 4.02 / 2.54 / 2.22
.E2 : 0923 : / 1.96 / 1.69 / 1.43 / 1.16
.E3 : 0924 : / 0.89 / 0.63 / 0.37 / 0.11
.E4 : 0925 : / 0.11 / 0.11 / 0.11 / 0.10
.E5 : 0926 : / 0.10 / 0.11 / 0.11 / 0.11
.E6 : 0927 : / 0.11
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:LITTLE ROCK, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 223.61 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 18.0 FT MINOR STAGE 23.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.4 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON SEP 22
:
.ER LITA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E2 : 0923 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4
.E3 : 0924 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.3
.E4 : 0925 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3
.E5 : 0926 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3
.E6 : 0927 : / 7.3
.ER LITA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 0923 : / 0.00
.AR LITA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER LITA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 17.26 / 12.90 / 9.33
.E2 : 0923 : / 6.95 / 5.32 / 4.17 / 3.31
.E3 : 0924 : / 2.66 / 2.14 / 1.70 / 1.31
.E4 : 0925 : / 0.99 / 0.76 / 0.60 / 0.49
.E5 : 0926 : / 0.41 / 0.36 / 0.32 / 0.30
.E6 : 0927 : / 0.27
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:PINE BLUFF, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 164.71 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 40.0 FT MINOR STAGE 42.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 44.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 45.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 31.1 FT AT 800 AM CDT ON SEP 22
:
.ER PBFA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1
.E2 : 0923 : / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1
.E3 : 0924 : / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1
.E4 : 0925 : / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1
.E5 : 0926 : / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1
.E6 : 0927 : / 31.1
.ER PBFA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 0923 : / 0.00
.AR PBFA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE IS ** ESTIMATED **
:AT 21.18 KCFS AT 700 AM CDT ON SEP 22
:
.ER PBFA4 0921 C DC202609220844/DH13/QTIRZ/DIH6
:FLOW / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM / 7AM
.E1 : 0921 : /22.94E /22.78E /21.95E /21.18E
:
.ER PBFA4 0922 C DC202609220844/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 0922 : / 20.77 / 19.67 / 16.92
.E2 : 0923 : / 13.11 / 9.64 / 7.15 / 5.45
.E3 : 0924 : / 4.25 / 3.37 / 2.70 / 2.17
.E4 : 0925 : / 1.73 / 1.34 / 1.03 / 0.79
.E5 : 0926 : / 0.63 / 0.51 / 0.43 / 0.38
.E6 : 0927 : / 0.34
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.AR TUA 0922 C DT202609221344/YIIRZ 29 : XWX
:
:
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML
:
:...END OF MESSAGE...
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