607
FGUS54 KTUA 121313
RVFLZK
RIVER FORECAST
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK
812 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.
: FORECAST GROUP IS KERR -- PINE BLUFF
:
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.
:
:*******************************************************************
:DARDANELLE, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 280.16 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 32.0 FT MINOR STAGE 32.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 36.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 40.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 5.3 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 12
:
.ER DARA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.2
.E2 : 1013 : / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2
.E3 : 1014 : / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.2
.E4 : 1015 : / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2
.E5 : 1016 : / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.2 / 5.2
.E6 : 1017 : / 5.2
.ER DARA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 1013 : / 0.00
.AR DARA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER DARA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 5.60 / 6.21 / 7.93
.E2 : 1013 : / 9.41 / 10.20 / 10.29 / 9.50
.E3 : 1014 : / 8.06 / 7.11 / 7.28 / 7.84
.E4 : 1015 : / 7.92 / 7.64 / 7.48 / 7.40
.E5 : 1016 : / 7.24 / 7.22 / 7.55 / 7.82
.E6 : 1017 : / 7.68
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:DANVILLE, AR - PETIT JEAN RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 303.33 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 20.0 FT MINOR STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 26.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.8 FT AT 645 AM CDT ON OCT 12
:
.ER DANA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 9.8 / 9.7 / 9.7
.E2 : 1013 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.5
.E3 : 1014 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5
.E4 : 1015 : / 9.5 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6
.E5 : 1016 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.5 / 9.5
.E6 : 1017 : / 9.5
.ER DANA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 1013 : / 0.00
.AR DANA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:MORRILTON, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 255.55 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 29.0 FT MINOR STAGE 30.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.5 FT AT 715 AM CDT ON OCT 12
:
.ER MORA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5
.E2 : 1013 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5
.E3 : 1014 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5
.E4 : 1015 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5
.E5 : 1016 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5
.E6 : 1017 : / 9.5
.ER MORA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 1013 : / 0.00
.AR MORA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER MORA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 5.66 / 6.25 / 7.95
.E2 : 1013 : / 9.43 / 10.22 / 10.33 / 9.56
.E3 : 1014 : / 8.12 / 7.17 / 7.32 / 7.87
.E4 : 1015 : / 7.96 / 7.69 / 7.53 / 7.44
.E5 : 1016 : / 7.28 / 7.26 / 7.58 / 7.85
.E6 : 1017 : / 7.72
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:TOAD SUCK L&D, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ACTION STAGE 273.0 FT MINOR STAGE 275.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 278.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 280.0 FT
:
:LATEST TAILWATER STAGE IS 248.9 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 12
:
.ER TODA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/HTIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9
.E2 : 1013 : / 248.8 / 248.8 / 248.9 / 249.1
.E3 : 1014 : / 249.2 / 249.1 / 249.0 / 249.1
.E4 : 1015 : / 249.0 / 249.0 / 249.0 / 249.1
.E5 : 1016 : / 249.1 / 249.1 / 249.1 / 249.2
.E6 : 1017 : / 249.2
.ER TODA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 1013 : / 0.00
.AR TODA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER TODA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 5.68 / 6.27 / 7.70
.E2 : 1013 : / 9.21 / 10.07 / 10.32 / 9.74
.E3 : 1014 : / 8.36 / 7.34 / 7.32 / 7.81
.E4 : 1015 : / 7.97 / 7.75 / 7.57 / 7.48
.E5 : 1016 : / 7.32 / 7.28 / 7.55 / 7.82
.E6 : 1017 : / 7.75
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:LITTLE ROCK, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 223.61 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 18.0 FT MINOR STAGE 23.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.3 FT AT 600 AM CDT ON OCT 12
:
.ER LITA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3
.E2 : 1013 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3
.E3 : 1014 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3
.E4 : 1015 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3
.E5 : 1016 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3
.E6 : 1017 : / 7.3
.ER LITA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 1013 : / 0.00
.AR LITA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
.ER LITA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 7.77 / 7.26 / 7.13
.E2 : 1013 : / 7.50 / 8.19 / 8.90 / 9.39
.E3 : 1014 : / 9.47 / 9.13 / 8.65 / 8.33
.E4 : 1015 : / 8.22 / 8.18 / 8.10 / 8.00
.E5 : 1016 : / 7.88 / 7.77 / 7.71 / 7.74
.E6 : 1017 : / 7.82
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:PINE BLUFF, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 164.71 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE 40.0 FT MINOR STAGE 42.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 44.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 45.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 31.4 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 12
:
.ER PBFA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.2
.E2 : 1013 : / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.3
.E3 : 1014 : / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3
.E4 : 1015 : / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3
.E5 : 1016 : / 31.3 / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.2
.E6 : 1017 : / 31.2
.ER PBFA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.E2 : 1013 : / 0.00
.AR PBFA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE IS ** ESTIMATED **
:AT 8.85 KCFS AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 12
:
.ER PBFA4 1011 C DC202610120812/DH13/QTIRZ/DIH6
:FLOW / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM / 7AM
.E1 : 1011 : / 8.72E / 8.96E / 9.01E / 8.85E
:
.ER PBFA4 1012 C DC202610120812/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1012 : / 8.58 / 8.23 / 7.78
.E2 : 1013 : / 7.36 / 7.26 / 7.59 / 8.20
.E3 : 1014 : / 8.85 / 9.29 / 9.37 / 9.10
.E4 : 1015 : / 8.70 / 8.40 / 8.25 / 8.18
.E5 : 1016 : / 8.10 / 8.00 / 7.89 / 7.79
.E6 : 1017 : / 7.74
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.AR TUA 1012 C DT202610121312/YIIRZ 19 : MBV
:
:
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML
:
:...END OF MESSAGE...
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