293  
FGUS54 KTUA 131303  
RVFLZK  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK  
803 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026  
 
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER  
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS  
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.  
 
: FORECAST GROUP IS KERR -- PINE BLUFF  
:  
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:DARDANELLE, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 280.16 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 32.0 FT MINOR STAGE 32.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 36.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 40.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 5.3 FT AT 600 AM CDT ON OCT 13  
:  
.ER DARA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.3  
.E2 : 1014 : / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.2  
.E3 : 1015 : / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2  
.E4 : 1016 : / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2  
.E5 : 1017 : / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2  
.E6 : 1018 : / 5.2  
.ER DARA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1014 : / 0.01  
.AR DARA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.02  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER DARA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 4.99 / 6.05 / 7.94  
.E2 : 1014 : / 8.44 / 7.53 / 6.61 / 6.25  
.E3 : 1015 : / 6.14 / 6.05 / 6.00 / 5.95  
.E4 : 1016 : / 5.91 / 5.89 / 5.87 / 5.87  
.E5 : 1017 : / 5.86 / 5.90 / 5.91 / 5.95  
.E6 : 1018 : / 5.98  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:DANVILLE, AR - PETIT JEAN RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 303.33 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 20.0 FT MINOR STAGE 20.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 26.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.8 FT AT 645 AM CDT ON OCT 13  
:  
.ER DANA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8  
.E2 : 1014 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8  
.E3 : 1015 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8  
.E4 : 1016 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8  
.E5 : 1017 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8  
.E6 : 1018 : / 9.8  
.ER DANA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1014 : / 0.00  
.AR DANA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:MORRILTON, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 255.55 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 29.0 FT MINOR STAGE 30.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.8 FT AT 715 AM CDT ON OCT 13  
:  
.ER MORA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 9.7 / 9.6 / 9.6  
.E2 : 1014 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6  
.E3 : 1015 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6  
.E4 : 1016 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6  
.E5 : 1017 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6  
.E6 : 1018 : / 9.6  
.ER MORA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1014 : / 0.02  
.AR MORA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.02  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER MORA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 5.03 / 6.08 / 7.96  
.E2 : 1014 : / 8.47 / 7.59 / 6.67 / 6.30  
.E3 : 1015 : / 6.19 / 6.10 / 6.04 / 5.99  
.E4 : 1016 : / 5.95 / 5.93 / 5.91 / 5.90  
.E5 : 1017 : / 5.90 / 5.94 / 5.95 / 5.99  
.E6 : 1018 : / 6.03  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:TOAD SUCK L&D, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ACTION STAGE 273.0 FT MINOR STAGE 275.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 278.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 280.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST TAILWATER STAGE IS 249.0 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 13  
:  
.ER TODA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/HTIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 249.0 / 249.0 / 249.2  
.E2 : 1014 : / 249.3 / 249.2 / 249.1 / 249.0  
.E3 : 1015 : / 249.0 / 249.0 / 249.0 / 249.0  
.E4 : 1016 : / 249.0 / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9  
.E5 : 1017 : / 248.9 / 249.0 / 249.0 / 249.0  
.E6 : 1018 : / 249.0  
.ER TODA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1014 : / 0.06  
.AR TODA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.06  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER TODA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 5.05 / 6.10 / 7.68  
.E2 : 1014 : / 8.42 / 7.75 / 6.84 / 6.38  
.E3 : 1015 : / 6.22 / 6.12 / 6.06 / 6.01  
.E4 : 1016 : / 5.97 / 5.95 / 5.93 / 5.92  
.E5 : 1017 : / 5.92 / 5.96 / 5.98 / 6.02  
.E6 : 1018 : / 6.06  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:LITTLE ROCK, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 223.61 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 18.0 FT MINOR STAGE 23.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.4 FT AT 600 AM CDT ON OCT 13  
:  
.ER LITA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4  
.E2 : 1014 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4  
.E3 : 1015 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4  
.E4 : 1016 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4  
.E5 : 1017 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4  
.E6 : 1018 : / 7.4  
.ER LITA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1014 : / 0.00  
.AR LITA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
.ER LITA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 6.58 / 6.34 / 6.48  
.E2 : 1014 : / 6.99 / 7.46 / 7.59 / 7.43  
.E3 : 1015 : / 7.18 / 6.94 / 6.75 / 6.61  
.E4 : 1016 : / 6.50 / 6.41 / 6.34 / 6.30  
.E5 : 1017 : / 6.26 / 6.24 / 6.24 / 6.25  
.E6 : 1018 : / 6.26  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:PINE BLUFF, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 164.71 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 40.0 FT MINOR STAGE 42.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 44.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 45.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 31.1 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 13  
:  
.ER PBFA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1  
.E2 : 1014 : / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1  
.E3 : 1015 : / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1  
.E4 : 1016 : / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1  
.E5 : 1017 : / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1 / 31.1  
.E6 : 1018 : / 31.1  
.ER PBFA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1014 : / 0.00  
.AR PBFA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE IS ** ESTIMATED **  
:AT 7.32 KCFS AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 13  
:  
.ER PBFA4 1012 C DC202610130803/DH13/QTIRZ/DIH6  
:FLOW / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM / 7AM  
.E1 : 1012 : / 8.57E / 8.22E / 7.77E / 7.32E  
:  
.ER PBFA4 1013 C DC202610130803/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1013 : / 7.03 / 6.83 / 6.60  
.E2 : 1014 : / 6.44 / 6.58 / 6.99 / 7.39  
.E3 : 1015 : / 7.53 / 7.42 / 7.19 / 6.96  
.E4 : 1016 : / 6.77 / 6.62 / 6.51 / 6.42  
.E5 : 1017 : / 6.36 / 6.31 / 6.27 / 6.26  
.E6 : 1018 : / 6.26  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
.AR TUA 1013 C DT202610131303/YIIRZ 17 : HLC  
:  
 
:  
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES  
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML  
:  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
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