032
FXUS65 KTWC 151951
AFDTWC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1251 PM MST MON DEC 15 2025
SYNOPSIS
DRY AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 7
DAYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL, WITH SOME
LOCATIONS APPROACHING NEAR RECORD TO RECORD LEVELS.
DISCUSSION
WELL ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT WILL BE THE DRIVING FORCE FOR OUR WEATHER. THE HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF US BUT WILL STILL PUSH TEMPERATURES
TO 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. SOME LOCALES COULD SEE RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY
LIGHT AND GENERALLY TERRAIN DRIVEN THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AND SKIES
WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH OCCASIONAL HIGH CLOUDS PASSING THROUGH.
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT A PATTERN CHANGE NEAR DAYS
7-10 (DECEMBER 23-25) SHOWING A DEVELOPING TROUGH THAT PUSHES
SOUTHWARD FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC. OF COURSE THAT IS TO FAR OUT
FOR ANY PARTICULARS AT THIS TIME, OR IF IT WILL RESULT IN SENSIBLE
WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA, BUT IT APPEARS CHANGES MAY BE
COMING.
AVIATION
VALID THROUGH 17/00Z.
FEW TO SCT CLOUDS AOA 20K FT AGL NEAR KFHU AND KDUG WILL CLEAR OUT
BY 16/00Z BECOMING SKC ACROSS THE AREA. SFC WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. AVIATION DISCUSSION
NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.
FIRE WEATHER
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND, ALONG WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES 11-16 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. 20-
FOOT WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH AND TERRAIN DRIVEN TODAY INTO
THE WEEKEND. MINIMUM RH VALUES LOWER TO 12-22 PERCENT ACROSS ALL
OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
MALARKEY
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