242
FXUS65 KTWC 110922
AFDTWC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
222 AM MST SUN JAN 11 2026
SYNOPSIS
GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY BEFORE
DIMINISHING TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. LOCALIZED GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
50 MPH IS EXPECTED. A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY MIDWEEK.
DISCUSSION
THE STRONG EASTERLY GRADIENT IS HERE WITH ISOLATED
MOUNTAIN GAP LOCATIONS SUSCEPTIBLE TO EASTERLY WINDS HAVING
RECORDED WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH. IN FACT ONE LOCATION IN THE
SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS, AS OF THIS WRITING, HAS BEEN RECORDING GUSTS
BETWEEN 90 AND 98 MPH SINCE 10 PM LAST NIGHT. WITH THAT SAID A
WIND ADVISORY IS OUT FOR THE MOUNTAINS UNTIL 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON.
BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH A FEW SPOTS
NEAR THE MOUNTAINS HAVE RECORDED GUSTS TO 50 MPH SINCE LAST NIGHT.
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL SEE THE STRONGER WINDS DEVELOP LATER
THIS MORNING WITH MORE WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 40 MPH
WITH ISOLATED SPOTS TO 55 MPH. A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM.
THE EASTERLY GRADIENT GRADUALLY DECREASES TONIGHT INTO MONDAY FOR
BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS.
OTHERWISE DRY NEXT 7 DAYS WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS
RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS AROUND MID-WEEK AND CONTINUING
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
VALID THROUGH 12/12Z.
SKC. SFC WINDS ELY 12-30 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KTS AND HIGHER
GUSTS LIKELY IN THE MTNS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AFT 11/21Z
THRU END OF VALID PERIOD. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.
FIRE WEATHER
A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.
GUSTY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH GUSTS
LOCALLY UP TO 50 MPH IN THE VALLEYS WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE
THE MOUNATINS, ESPECIALLY IN RIDGE TOP AND MOUNTAIN GAP AREAS.
NOT AS WINDY MONDAY WITH NORMAL DIURNAL WINDS FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK.
TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 AM THIS MORNING TO 2 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON
FOR AZZ503>509.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AZZ511>515.
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