695
FXUS65 KTWC 112117
AFDTWC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
217 PM MST SUN JAN 11 2026
SYNOPSIS
GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY BEFORE
DIMINISHING TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE
THIS WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY MIDWEEK.
KEY MESSAGES
1. TODAY AND TONIGHT: BREEZY TO GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS WILL SLOWLY
DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND IN THE EARLY HOURS ON MONDAY.
2.WARMING TREND WITH BENIGN CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE NEW WEEK.
DISCUSSION
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT FORMED OVER SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA THIS MORNING, RESULTED IN STRONG GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS.
MANY LOCALES SAW GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH WITH THE WIND PRONE AREAS
EXCEEDING 55 MPH. MOUNTAIN TOPS SAW ONE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS OF
THE DAY. SCOUT CAMP RAWS 61 MPH AND MT HOPKINS RAWS 98 MPH!
THE GRADIENT HAS STARTED TO LOOSEN UP IN THE LAST 3 HOURS AND IT
WILL CONTINUE LESSEN THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND INTO EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING. WE HAVE ALREADY EXPERIENCE THE PEAK WINDS OF THE EVENT
AND THUS, THE WIND ADVISORY WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRED. LOCALES CAN
STILL EXPERIENCE THE BREEZY TO GUSTY WINDS, BUT LOWER THAN THIS
MORNING. TOMORROW, EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE BUT NOT AS STRONG AS
TODAY'S OBSERVED WINDS. WIND PRONE AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE THE
STRONGEST SPEEDS.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD TO THE NORTHWEST,
BRINGING WARMING CONDITIONS AND BENIGN WEATHER CONDITIONS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL BY TOMORROW AND THEN ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. BACK TO A DRY WEATHER PATTERN FOR SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.
AVIATION
VALID THROUGH 13/00Z.
MOSTLY SKC THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FEW CLOUDS AT
OR AROUND 18K FT AGL THROUGH 12/00. SFC WINDS EASTERLY 12-25 KTS
WITH GUSTS 25-35 KTS AND HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY IN THE MOUNTAINS.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD DOWN TO
SPEEDS OF 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS UNTIL THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. MOUNTAINS CAN SEE STRONGER WINDS. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.
FIRE WEATHER
GUSTY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY AND SLOWLY DIMINISHING. TOMORROW
WINDS WILL BE BREEZY BUT NOT AS STRONG AS ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND AND BENIGN WEATHER CONDITIONS
FOR THE WEEK; DIURNAL WINDS OF LESS THAN 15 MPH AND MIN RHS 15-20
PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND MID-20S IN THE MOUNTAINS.
TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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