351
FNUS75 KTWC 170206
FWSTWC
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAN CARLOS WUI RX...AZ-SCA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
706 PM MST THU APR 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0400 MST ON APRIL 17.
DISCUSSION
CLEAR SKIES AND WINDS BECOMING WESTERLY ARE EXPECTED AT THE
BURN SITE ON FRIDAY. WINDS SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH IN THE MORNING
TO THE WEST IN THE LATE MORNING, INCREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH. SURFACE WINDS THEN SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST
IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH SOME HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY ALONG WITH LIGHTER WINDS. LOOKING AHEAD, WINDS ON
SUNDAY ARE FORECAST TO BE STRONGER AND OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST WITH WINDS
OF 15-25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL
FROM AROUND 10 PERCENT ON FRIDAY TO BELOW 10 PERCENT SATURDAY, INCREASING
TO 11-14 PERCENT ON SUNDAY. OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES MAINLY 34-40 PERCENT FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY MORNINGS, THEN AROUND 25 PERCENT SUNDAY MORNING.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-84 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-13 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8
TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING. WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 KNOTS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (104900 KNOT-FT).
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-49 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........31-34 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 11 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 KNOTS
LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (65300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (4700 KNOT-FT)
LATE IN THE NIGHT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-88 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-9 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (42500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
FORECASTER...EDWARDS
REQUESTED BY...TY HARVEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610584.0/TWC
.DELDT 04/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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