165
FNUS55 KTWC 160906
FWFTWC
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
206 AM MST TUE JUN 16 2026
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF 'LIGHT WINDS' INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
DISCUSSION
WINDS WILL REMAIN WEST/NORTHWEST THROUGH THIS
WEEK WITH SPEEDS OF 10-20 MPH AND GUSTS 25-30 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA WITH STRONGER SPEEDS OF 15-25 MPH AND GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN LOWER
ELEVATIONS OF GRAHAM COUNTY. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 15-30
PERCENT IN LOWER ELEVATIONS AND 30-40 PERCENT IN THE MOUNTAINS. THIS
WILL BRING BRING CHANCES (20-30 PERCENT) FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INT'L BORDER FROM SASABE EASTWARD TODAY,
THEN FROM TUCSON SOUTH AND EASTWARD, ALONG WITH THE WHITE MOUNTAINS
WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS
THURSDAY BUT OTHERWISE RETREAT TO THE INT'L BORDER ONCE AGAIN. DRY
CONDITIONS AREA-WIDE FRIDAY AND BEYOND WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LOWERING THIS WEEKEND TO 5 TO 15 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND
10 TO 20 PERCENT IN THE MOUNTAINS. FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN THE GILA RIVER VALLEY AS WINDS INCREASE AND RH DROPS BELOW 15
PERCENT.
AZZ150-162215-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150
SONORAN FDRA-MOST OF PIMA COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION-TUCSON METROPOLITAN AREA-TDC-
206 AM MST TUE JUN 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........98 TO 108 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 TO 4 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............15 TO 25 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 1 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............12145 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........WEST 9 TO 12 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (145740 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........72 TO 82 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 DEG.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............43 TO 53 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 TO 7 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........97 TO 107 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............16 TO 26 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............15632 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (234480 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 69 TO 79. HIGHS 95 TO 105. SOUTHWEST WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 12 TO 22 PCT.
JUNETEENTH
CLEAR. LOWS 66 TO 76. HIGHS 95 TO 105. SOUTH WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 9 TO 16 PCT.
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 65 TO 75. HIGHS 95 TO 105. SOUTH WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 6 TO 12 PCT.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 63 TO 73. HIGHS 95 TO 105.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 64 TO 74. HIGHS 96 TO 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
AZZ151-162215-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 151
WESTERN HALF DESERT GRASSLANDS FDRA INCLUDING ELEVATIONS UP TO
5500 FEET IN SOUTHEAST CORNER OF PINAL COUNTY-
EXTREME EASTERN PIMA COUNTY-WESTERN THIRD OF COCHISE COUNTY-
SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-TDC-
206 AM MST TUE JUN 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........10 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........92 TO 102 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............17 TO 27 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 TO 7 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............11200 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 12 TO 14 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (156800 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........65 TO 75 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 TO 4 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............49 TO 59 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 1 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........20 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........91 TO 101 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............17 TO 27 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........UP 3 TO 7 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............13177 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........WEST 14 TO 18 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (237186 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62 TO 72. HIGHS 89 TO 99.
SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 17 TO 27 PCT.
JUNETEENTH
CLEAR. LOWS 61 TO 71. HIGHS 90 TO 100. SOUTHWEST
WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 12 TO 22 PCT.
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 60 TO 70. HIGHS 90 TO 100. SOUTHWEST WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 7 TO 16 PCT.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 59 TO 69. HIGHS 90 TO 100.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 59 TO 69. HIGHS 91 TO 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
AZZ152-162215-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 152
EASTERN HALF DESERT GRASSLANDS FDRA INCLUDING ELEVATIONS UP TO
5500 FEET IN SOUTHWEST GRAHAM COUNTY AND EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF
COCHISE COUNTY-SOUTHERN SAN CARLOS RESERVATION-
SOUTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY BELOW 5000 FEET-TDC-
206 AM MST TUE JUN 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........93 TO 103 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 TO 4 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............13 TO 23 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 1 TO 4 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............12275 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 12 TO 16 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (196400 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........65 TO 75 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............43 TO 53 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 TO 6 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........20 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........92 TO 102 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 1 DEG.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............14 TO 24 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............13036 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........WEST 18 TO 20 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (260720 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 64 TO 74. HIGHS 90 TO 100. WEST
WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 13 TO 23 PCT.
JUNETEENTH
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61 TO 71. HIGHS 91 TO 101. WEST
WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 11 TO 21 PCT.
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 61 TO 71. HIGHS 91 TO 101. WEST WIND
AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 7 TO 16 PCT.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 59 TO 69. HIGHS 91 TO 101.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 59 TO 69. HIGHS 92 TO 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
AZZ153-162215-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 153
NORTHERN GRAHAM COUNTY-NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-
WHITE AND GILA MOUNTAINS-APACHE SITGREAVES NF-
SOUTHERN SAN CARLOS RESERVATION ABOVE 5000 FEET-SDC-
206 AM MST TUE JUN 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........84 TO 94 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 3 TO 6 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............11 TO 20 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 TO 7 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............13950 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 11 TO 16 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (223200 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........59 TO 69 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 3 TO 6 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............41 TO 51 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 7 TO 11 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........10 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........83 TO 93 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 DEG.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............16 TO 26 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........UP 2 TO 5 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............11787 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 18 TO 19 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (223953 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 58 TO 68. HIGHS 81 TO 91.
NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 16 TO 26 PCT.
JUNETEENTH
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55 TO 65. HIGHS 82 TO 92. WEST
WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 12 TO 20 PCT.
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 54 TO 64. HIGHS 81 TO 91. WEST WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 9 TO 15 PCT.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 51 TO 61. HIGHS 81 TO 91.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 51 TO 61. HIGHS 83 TO 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
AZZ154-162215-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 154
FOREST WOODLANDS FDRA INCLUDING THE SKY ISLANDS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA ABOVE 5500 FEET-CORONADO NF-TDC-
206 AM MST TUE JUN 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........10 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........82 TO 92 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 TO 4 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............20 TO 30 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 TO 5 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............13142 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (177417 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........61 TO 71 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 DEG.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............43 TO 53 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 TO 7 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........20 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........81 TO 91 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 1 DEG.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............21 TO 31 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............14050 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........WEST 18 TO 19 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (259925 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58 TO 68. HIGHS 79 TO 89. WEST
WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 19 TO 29 PCT.
JUNETEENTH
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57 TO 67. HIGHS 80 TO 90. WEST
WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 16 TO 26 PCT.
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 57 TO 67. HIGHS 80 TO 90. WEST WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 10 TO 20 PCT.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 56 TO 66. HIGHS 80 TO 90.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 56 TO 66. HIGHS 82 TO 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page