852
FNUS75 KTWC 100721
FWSTWC
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILITARY...BIA=SAN CARLOS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1221 AM MST FRI JUL 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MST ON JULY 10.
DISCUSSION
BREEZY AND HOT TODAY AT THE FIRE SITE WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND
100 DEGREES. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING WILL BECOME WEST
WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH AFTER 1100 MST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. THERE WILL
BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING
(10 PERCENT). CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE ON SATURDAY WITH A 30 PERCENT
CHANCE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AN ACTIVE THUNDERSTORM PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE FOLLOWING DAYS.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM
AFTER 1400 MST.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....98-101 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-19 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST
10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH AFTER 1100 MST.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (17700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (133900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 12 KNOTS.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....74-77 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-48 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (111500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (3500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 KNOTS.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300 MST.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT AFTER 1300 MST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....97-100 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-23 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (96400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600 FT
AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 12 KNOTS.
FORECASTER...EDWARDS
REQUESTED BY...AMOS COOCHYOUMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617141.0/TWC
.DELDT 07/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL AZPHC01.DISPATCH@USDA.GOV
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