276
FNUS75 KTWC 120057
FWSTWC
SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSEHEAD...AZ-DFFM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
557 PM MST SAT JUL 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MST ON JULY 11.
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT
WITH BEST CHANCES BEFORE 9 PM. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORMS COULD BEGIN AS EARLY AS NOON OR 1 PM.
MAIN THREATS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH AND HEAVY RAINFALL. SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR STORMS SUNDAY NIGHT BUT CHANCES ARE LOW (20 PERCENT).
MONDAY WILL ALSO SEE THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. OUTSIDE OF STORMS WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE EAST SOUTHEAST
WITH AFTERNOON AND MORNING GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MIN RH WILL BE IN THE 20S
WITH GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....74-77 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-58 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH FROM OUTFLOW
WINDS BECOMING NORTH NORTHEAST UP TO 8 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (27200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (2400
KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 11 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
5 KNOTS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........57 68 58 57
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC
CWR.............40 20 10 10
TEMP............92 85 81 78
RH..............28 36 45 51
20 FT WIND......NW 10G18 SW 7G13 NW 4G7 NW 3G6
MIX HGT (FT)....2500 500 500 600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 11 W 9 W 7 NW 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..27 5 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STARTING AT
NOON THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....98-101 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-26 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(100900 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST SOUTHEAST 8 TO 11 KNOTS.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........50 8 60 59
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............0 0 30 60
TEMP............75 87 95 96
RH..............56 38 28 25
20 FT WIND......S 3G5 E 4G8 E 7G14 E 8G14
MIX HGT (FT)....500 3400 8400 7500
TRANSPORT WIND..N 5 E 8 E 10 E 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 27 84 68
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR VYGD GOOD
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT AFTER 9 PM,
THEN DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....72-75 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-68 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST SOUTHEAST 5 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (14600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(3100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6
TO 9 KNOTS AFTER 1 AM.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........74 62 53 50
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
CWR.............60 30 30 15
TEMP............90 82 79 76
RH..............34 49 59 62
20 FT WIND......NE 6G13 E 6G10 E 6G10 E 6G11
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 900 700 500
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6 W 7 W 6 E 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 6 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....MRGL POOR POOR POOR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-98 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-32 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(103900 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 9 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........56 14 67 67
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............0 0 50 50
TEMP............74 83 93 95
RH..............66 49 33 30
20 FT WIND......E 9G14 E 12G20 SE 10G18 SE 7G17
MIX HGT (FT)....500 4500 7700 5800
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10 E 12 SE 11 SE 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 54 84 47
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD VYGD GOOD
FORECASTER...HARDIN
REQUESTED BY...ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617233.0/TWC
.DELDT 07/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL AIDCLOGISTICS@DFFM.AZ.GOV
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