910
FNUS75 KTWC 130028
FWSTWC
SPOT FORECAST FOR MULE DEER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
528 PM MST WED AUG 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MST ON AUGUST 12.
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MAIN THREAT WILL BE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL
WITH SOME STORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS 30-40 MPH. RAIN CHANCES DWINDLE
THURSDAY MORNING THEN PICK BACK UP (60 PERCENT) THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. DRIER AIR MOVES IN FRIDAY LEADING TO JUST A 20 PERCENT
CHANCE FOR STORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF STORMS WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE WEST SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. WINDS BRIEFLY
TURN SOUTHEAST FRIDAY MORNING. MIN RH WILL BE IN THE LOW 40S THURSDAY,
DROPPING TO THE MID 30S FRIDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-69 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-84 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (14700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2000 KNOT-FT) LATER IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 KNOTS.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........76 68 81 80
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............50 40 30 30
TEMP............78 73 71 68
RH..............55 63 70 76
20 FT WIND......W 6G11 SW 6G10 S 4G7 SW 5G7
MIX HGT (FT)....2500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 SW 6 S 4 W 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 3 2 3
VENTRATE CAT....MRGL POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-85 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-46 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO GOOD (42800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7
TO 8 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........78 61 68 71
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE.... RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............0 0 30 60
TEMP............67 74 81 83
RH..............82 68 50 44
20 FT WIND......E 4G6 W 5G8 W 6G10 N 8G13
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 2400 5200 5300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 4 SW 5 W 7 W 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 12 37 43
VENTRATE CAT....POOR MRGL FAIR GOOD
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 15 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-69 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-77 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (24000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (1800
KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 KNOTS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........57 37 51 59
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
CWR.............40 20 15 15
TEMP............80 74 71 69
RH..............49 58 65 69
20 FT WIND......S 5G10 S 5G7 S 4G6 SE 3G6
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 600 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 S 7 SW 5 SW 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..24 4 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-88 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-38 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (43900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 4 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5
TO 6 KNOTS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........14 12 20 40
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC
CWR.............0 0 20 20
TEMP............67 75 82 85
RH..............75 60 44 38
20 FT WIND......E 3G5 SE 4G6 SW 5G8 SW 8G13
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2900 6700 7900
TRANSPORT WIND..E 4 SE 4 SW 5 W 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 12 34 55
VENTRATE CAT....POOR MRGL FAIR GOOD
FORECASTER...HARDIN
REQUESTED BY...SARAH TOLSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619398.3/TWC
.DELDT 08/12/26
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