146
FNUS75 KTWC 140014
FWSTWC
SPOT FORECAST FOR MULE DEER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
514 PM MST THU AUG 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MST ON AUGUST 13.
DISCUSSION
TONIGHT, ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS AND SHOWERS WILL MOVE OVER
OR NEAR THE BURN SITE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL THAT MAY LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING. LOW TEMPERATURE TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S WITH
MAX RH AROUND 76%. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WITH STRONGER STORMS. TOMORROW,
HIGH TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 80S WITH MIN RH AROUND 35%. SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR STORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE FROM
THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-70 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-76 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (20600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (1500
KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 KNOTS.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........59 52 46 45
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
CWR.............40 20 20 20
TEMP............79 72 71 69
RH..............51 64 67 69
20 FT WIND......SW 4G10 S 5G7 S 4G6 S 3G6
MIX HGT (FT)....2900 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 SW 6 SW 5 SW 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..21 3 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10-20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-88 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-37 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (43400
KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 4 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 KNOTS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO
8 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........38 24 24 42
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 20
TEMP............68 75 83 85
RH..............74 61 44 35
20 FT WIND......SE 3G5 NW 3G6 W 5G8 W 6G11
MIX HGT (FT)....500 3500 5700 7000
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 3 S 4 SW 5 W 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 14 29 49
VENTRATE CAT....POOR MRGL FAIR GOOD
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....69-72 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-61 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
UP TO 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (35100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (1200
KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 6
KNOTS LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 3 TO 5 KNOTS LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING
TO THE NORTH AROUND 4 KNOTS AFTER 3 AM.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........59 46 35 31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 0 0 0
TEMP............83 76 73 71
RH..............37 46 52 56
20 FT WIND......W 4G8 SW 3G6 S 3G6 SE 3G6
MIX HGT (FT)....4400 400 300 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 6 W 5 NW 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..35 3 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-91 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-32 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (54600
KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 4 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO
4 KNOTS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE WEST 5 TO 7 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 7 KNOTS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........32 33 32 32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 78 86 88
RH..............59 48 35 31
20 FT WIND......E 3G5 NE 2G5 NW 4G7 W 6G10
MIX HGT (FT)....500 3100 7500 9300
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 4 E 4 SW 4 W 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 12 30 65
VENTRATE CAT....POOR MRGL FAIR GOOD
FORECASTER...MALARKEY
REQUESTED BY...SARAH TOLSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619398.4/TWC
.DELDT 08/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL AMBERCLAD@COX.NET,AZTDC@FIRENET.GOV
VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page