190  
FNUS75 KTWC 202041  
FWSTWC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PEARCE FIRE PREVENTION...SUNSITES PEARCE FIRE DISTRICT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ  
141 PM MST TUE OCT 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 MST ON OCTOBER 22.    
DISCUSSION  
 
   
THURSDAY  
 
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
ALL TYPES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HAIL UP TO 1" IN DIAMETER  
AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH THE GREATEST THREAT. THERE IS ALSO A RISK FOR  
HEAVY RAIN AND WE CANNOT RULE OUT A TORNADO. THE PROBABILITY OF SEEING A  
TORNADO IS 2-5% WITHIN 25 MILES OF A POINT, HOWEVER THE RISK IS GREATEST WELL  
NORTH AND WEST OF PEARCE. CEILINGS OR CLOUD HEIGHTS WILL BE BETWEEN 5-6K FT AGL  
DURING THE DAY. BRIEF MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN STORMS AND  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF STORMS.  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIP....80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-81 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-56 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
26 MPH BECOMING 9 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 KNOTS.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MST) 8 AM 11 AM 2 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........76 86 86 65  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 80 80 50  
TEMP............64 75 78 73  
RH..............89 60 54 63  
SURFACE WIND....SE 6G9 S 10G17 S 19G26 S 13G23  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 S 15 S 17 S 13  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-57 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97-100 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS UP TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 11 KNOTS.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........65 65 28 35  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 10 10  
TEMP............70 63 59 56  
RH..............69 89 98 100  
SURFACE WIND....S 9G18 SW 4G7 S 4G6 S 4G6  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 11 SW 8 S 7 S 5  
 
 
FORECASTER...MICHAEL  
REQUESTED BY...AUSTIN GARNER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2624178.0/TWC  
.DELDT 10/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AGARNER@SUNSITESFIRE.ORG  
 
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