461  
FNUS75 KTWC 211534  
FWSTWC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PEARCE FIRE PREVENTION...SUNSITES PEARCE FIRE DISTRICT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ  
834 AM MST WED OCT 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 MST ON OCTOBER 22.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IN THE MORNING.  
SCATTERED CEILINGS AT 5K FT AND BKN-OVC ABOVE 15K FT IN THE MORNING. THEN ISOLATED  
TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400 WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE HAIL AND WIND,  
ALONG WITH A LOW BUT NON-ZERO THREAT FOR A TORNADO. BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS  
WILL BE NORTH OF THE EVENT SITE WITH LESS CONFIDENCE IN COVERAGE TO THE SOUTH.  
CHANCES DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. ANY THUNDERSTORM MAY BRING BRIEF MVFR  
CONDITIONS. WINDS OUTSIDE THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH IN THE MORNING,  
BECOMING GUSTY AND SOUTHWESTERLY WITH GUSTS OF 25-30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY  
EVENING.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING MAY  
BECOME SEVERE WITH SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.  
CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-83 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-52 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE MORNING,  
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 11 TO 20 KNOTS.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MST) 8 AM 11 AM 2 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........76 71 66 48  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 50 20  
TEMP............65 77 80 75  
RH..............86 57 50 58  
SURFACE WIND....S 8G10 S 13G21 S 17G28 SW 13G23  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 11 S 17 S 20 SW 15  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EARLY EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-56 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97-100 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
IN THE EARLY EVENING BECOMING SOUTH AND LIGHT BELOW  
8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........48 21 26 57  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10  
TEMP............70 63 59 56  
RH..............68 85 92 99  
SURFACE WIND....SW 9G20 SW 4G7 SW 4G5 S 3  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 W 7 SW 7 W 5  
 
 
FORECASTER...EDWARDS  
REQUESTED BY...AUSTIN GARNER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2624178.0/TWC  
.DELDT 10/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AGARNER@SUNSITESFIRE.ORG  
 
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