010
FXUS65 KVEF 130528
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1028 PM PDT THU JUN 12 2025
SYNOPSIS
HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH ONLY SUBTLE
DAY-TO-DAY VARIATIONS. AN UPTICK IN WINDS IS LIKELY EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS A WEAK SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH, BRINGING INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO
THE AREA.
UPDATE
ANOTHER HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY EVENING, WHICH IS IN LINE
WITH EXPECTATIONS. NO UPDATE PLANNED.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WE REMAIN IN THIS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW REGIME FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS AS A TROUGH SITS OFF THE PACNW COAST AND A BROAD RIDGE LINGERS
OVER THE CENTRAL US. THIS WILL KEEP BREEZY WINDS AND ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AROUND. CHANCES FOR WIND IMPACTS ARE LESS THAN 30%
ACROSS THE AREA, BUT THEY ARE GOING TO INCREASE FIRE DANGER. WHERE
FUELS ARE READY, NEW FIRE STARTS MAY SPREAD RAPIDLY. WHERE FUELS ARE
NOT READY, NOTABLE DRYING AND CURING IS ANTICIPATED. WITH NO
PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL IN SIGHT, FIRE DANGER IS ONLY EXPECTED TO
INCREASE OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR TWO.
OVER THE WEEKEND, THE CENTRAL US RIDGE BECOMES MORE AMPLIFIED,
LEADING TO RISING HEIGHTS AND TEMPERATURES IN OUR AREA. THE PEAK OF
THE HEAT LOOKS TO BE ON SUNDAY WHEN HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE 6-10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THIS MAY PUSH THE LOWEST VALLEYS INTO MAJOR
HEATRISK, SO WE'LL HAVE TO MONITOR TRENDS AS WE ASSESS THE NEED FOR
ANY HEAT HEADLINES.
SOME SUBTLE RELIEF IS SET TO ARRIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SHORTWAVE
MOVES THROUGH. FORECAST HIGHS DROP 3-5 DEGREES DURING THIS TIME.
HOWEVER, THIS WILL LIKELY BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND
FIRE DANGER. STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN MOJAVE
DESERT WHERE THERE IS A ~50% CHANCE OF WIND IMPACTS. THIS SYSTEM IS
A PROGRESSIVE ONE, MEANING HEIGHTS AND TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY
RESUME THEIR INCREASING TREND MID-WEEK.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE
SIMILAR
WIND PATTERNS TO WHAT HAS HAPPENED THE PAST FEW DAYS IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10KT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT, THOUGH KVGT SHOULD SEE A PERIOD OF LIGHT
WINDS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. INTERMITTENT GUSTS AT 15-20KT ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT AT KLAS. SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST
20-25KT FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING SLIGHTLY AFTER SUNSET.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL
CLIMB OVER 100F BETWEEN 20Z-03Z.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA AND
SOUTHEASTERN CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE...EXPECT
WESTERLY WINDS TO CONTINUE TO GUSTS 20-30KT THROUGH MUCH OF THE
NIGHT AT KDAG BEFORE GUSTS END AROUND 12Z THIS MORNING. ELSEWHERE,
WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE NIGHT, FAVORING SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST OTHER THAN AT KBIH WHERE NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED. BREEZY
SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN FRIDAY WITH SPEEDS AND PATTERNS SIMILAR TO
TODAY WITH GUSTS 15-25KT EXPECTED. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AGAIN FRIDAY
EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH JUST A FEW MID-
LEVEL AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL PREVAIL.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
UPDATE...MORGAN
DISCUSSION...WOODS
AVIATION...NICKERSON
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